Model Predictions
| Model | Penn State Lady Lions | Princeton Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.2% | 91.8% | +16.2 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.3% | 86.7% | +10.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Princeton Tigers +7 (100-93). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Penn State Lady Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moriah Murray * | 38 | 7-10 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Kiyomi McMiller * | 32 | 8-19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Tea Cleante * | 31 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Gracie Merkle * | 26 | 19-23 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 39 | 24 | - |
| Viktoria Ranisavljevic * | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Shaelyn Steele | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Amiya Evans | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Vitória Santana | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nyla McFadden | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rachael Okokoh | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Princeton Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison St. Rose * | 38 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 23 | - |
| Skye Belker * | 37 | 9-13 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Ashley Chea * | 36 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Fadima Tall * | 31 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Olivia Hutcherson * | 18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Toby Nweke | 24 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Taylor Charles | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Grace O'Sullivan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Emily Eadie | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter