Model Predictions
| Model | Princeton Tigers | Dartmouth Big Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.8% | 4.2% | -33.2 | ✓ (16.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.0% | 6.0% | -30.3 | ✓ (19.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 99.3% | 0.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 99.7% | 0.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 99.8% | 0.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dartmouth Big Green -50 (47-97). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Princeton Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Chea * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Skye Belker * | 27 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Madison St. Rose * | 24 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Fadima Tall * | 20 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Olivia Hutcherson * | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Toby Nweke | 22 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Emily Eadie | 19 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Taylor Charles | 18 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Grace O'Sullivan | 17 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Sarah Lessig | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
Dartmouth Big Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lawlor * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Brooke Hollawell * | 22 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Clare Meyer * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Alexandra Eldredge * | 21 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Zeynep Ozel * | 20 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Jacalyn Myrthil | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Sierra Carson | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Catherine MacDonald | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Olivia Austin | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Tahira Muhammad | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter