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2025-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers George Mason Patriots Spread Result
Elo 42.6% 57.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 57.4% 42.6% - โœ“
Margin 63.9% 36.1% -3.1 โœ“ (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 49.9% 50.1% - โœ—
Efficiency 70.0% 30.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 70.2% 29.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 70.8% 29.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 55.1% 44.9% - โœ“

Actual: George Mason Patriots -2 (69-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Skye Belker 42 4-13 2-7 1-2 2 1 0 0 3 11 -2 -
Ashley Chea 41 5-12 1-4 0-0 6 5 2 0 5 11 7 -
Madison St. Rose 34 6-13 1-6 6-7 1 1 1 0 2 19 7 -
Olivia Hutcherson 34 5-8 0-0 7-9 7 2 3 2 4 17 19 -
Fadima Tall 31 1-3 0-2 2-2 10 1 0 0 3 4 9 -
Toby Nweke 28 3-6 0-2 2-3 6 1 2 0 2 8 9 -
Taylor Charles 13 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 1 1 4 -
Emily Eadie 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Sarah Lessig 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zahirah Walton 39 4-11 1-2 9-14 5 2 0 1 0 18 15 -
Kennedy Harris 38 6-18 2-5 3-3 2 1 1 0 3 17 0 -
Hawa Komara 37 3-5 0-0 0-0 10 2 3 0 1 6 15 -
Mary Amoateng 32 2-8 0-5 2-2 5 1 6 0 2 6 8 -
K. Johnson 25 0-4 0-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -
Louis Volker 21 5-7 2-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 12 7 -
Jada Brown 15 2-5 0-2 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 4 5 -
MJ Johnson 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 2 -2 -
Page Greenburg 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -

* = starter