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Portland State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Portland State Vikings
Program History
Coach: Barret Peery

2019 Team Stats (2 games)

64.0
PPG
82.5
Opp
-18.5
Margin
31.5%
FG%
15.5%
3P%
69.0%
FT%
46.5
RPG
8.0
APG
14.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
69.8
Adj PPG
76.9
Adj Opp PPG
#284
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More → Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 918 (#237) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More → 1014 (#148) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -8.0 (#287) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → -6.2 (#267) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.381 (#245) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.8 More → 0.224 (#279) AdjNet -10.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.9 More → 0.222 (#279) AdjNet -10.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 76.9 More → 0.343 (#284) AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 76.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 73.6 More → 0.446 (#229) AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 73.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.364 (#240) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.385 (#234) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 131 | GP 29 More → 929 (#226) RD 131 | GP 29

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 @ Oregon Ducks L 57 - 84
2018-11-10 vs UC Riverside Highlanders W 71 - 64
2018-11-17 vs Willamette Bearcats W 125 - 61
2018-11-23 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos L 69 - 76
2018-11-24 vs Northwest Nazarene NW NAZARENE W 91 - 75
2018-11-28 @ Stanford Cardinal L 67 - 79
2018-12-01 vs Portland Bible PORTLAND BIBLE W 123 - 40
2018-12-05 vs Portland Pilots W 87 - 78
2018-12-12 @ BYU Cougars L 66 - 85
2018-12-15 vs Loyola Marymount Lions L 58 - 85
2018-12-20 vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners L 71 - 76
2018-12-31 vs Northern Colorado Bears L 60 - 73
2019-01-03 @ Montana State Bobcats L 88 - 98
2019-01-05 @ Montana Grizzlies W 77 - 74
2019-01-12 vs Weber State Wildcats L 88 - 95
2019-01-17 @ Southern Utah Thunderbirds L 69 - 83
2019-01-19 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks L 75 - 82
2019-01-24 vs Eastern Washington Eagles W 78 - 65
2019-01-26 vs Idaho Vandals W 69 - 53
2019-01-31 @ Weber State Wildcats W 76 - 75
2019-02-02 @ Idaho State Bengals L 67 - 69
2019-02-07 @ Northern Colorado Bears L 62 - 80
2019-02-11 @ Sacramento State Hornets L 67 - 78
2019-02-14 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 103 - 94
2019-02-16 vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 78 - 69
2019-02-21 vs Idaho State Bengals W 99 - 93
2019-02-23 vs Sacramento State Hornets W 65 - 57
2019-02-28 @ Idaho Vandals W 67 - 65
2019-03-02 @ Eastern Washington Eagles L 66 - 68
2019-03-07 vs Montana Grizzlies W 81 - 69
2019-03-09 vs Montana State Bobcats W 84 - 80
2019-03-14 @ Weber State Wildcats L 71 - 81

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Holland Woods Holland Woods G 24 35.8 15.5 2.8 5.1 1.8 0.1 3.6 3.6 18.0 34 25 1.4 1.7 35.6 28.1 75.9 1.58 186.4 40.8
Sal Nuhu Sal Nuhu C 25 22.9 9.5 7.0 0.2 0.6 2.1 1.4 1.4 16.6 24 25 1.0 1.8 38.9 0.0 61.9 -1.23 261.9 38.9
Jamie Orme Jamie Orme F 25 19.3 8.3 4.4 1.0 1.1 0.4 0.8 1.6 12.7 46 25 1.8 3.9 40.0 10.0 54.5 1.04 230.8 41.2
Robert McCoy Robert McCoy F 25 22.7 7.6 6.0 0.9 1.0 0.7 1.5 1.4 13.2 65 25 2.6 5.0 42.9 25.0 66.7 1.55 245.1 48.6
Deante Strickland Deante Strickland G 24 22.4 7.0 2.2 2.5 1.5 0.0 1.2 1.8 10.1 -59 24 -2.5 -5.0 34.1 29.0 66.7 -4.74 181.2 44.3
Derek Brown Derek Brown G 25 16.6 6.1 3.1 1.6 1.1 0.0 1.4 1.0 9.5 -7 25 -0.3 -0.7 25.0 30.0 83.3 -3.83 285.3 31.2
Michael Mayhew Michael Mayhew G 18 15.6 5.7 1.7 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.7 0.8 7.2 -18 19 -0.9 -2.8 46.7 22.2 66.7 -1.94 289.1 53.3
Mike Nuga Mike Nuga G 2 12.5 5.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.5 0.0 56 23 2.4 5.6 27.3 28.6 66.7 1.8 40.6 36.4
Rashaad Goolsby Rashaad Goolsby F 25 18.3 4.2 3.5 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.7 8.2 -35 25 -1.4 -3.6 38.9 0.0 76.9 -3.27 219.2 38.9
Brendan Rumel Brendan Rumel F 23 10.6 3.7 2.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.7 4.7 -19 24 -0.8 -3.3 56.2 0 75.0 -2.72 242.1 56.2
Filip Fullerton Filip Fullerton - 3 7.3 3.3 2.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 6.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Juwan Williams Juwan Williams G 12 10.7 3.2 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.8 0.9 4.3 17 10 1.7 5.6 9.1 0.0 0 1.77 172.7 9.1
Vonte Carter Vonte Carter G 3 2.0 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.78 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG