Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Portland State Vikings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland State Vikings +9 (103-94). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernie Andre * | 39 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 9-13 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Cam Shelton * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 9-12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Luke Avdalovic * | 30 | 7-12 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Carlos Hines * | 22 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Brooks DeBisschop * | 19 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Ted McCree | 23 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Nik Mains | 20 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Davon Bolton | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aziz Seck | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
Portland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holland Woods * | 37 | 11-15 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 27 | 24 | - |
| Sal Nuhu * | 27 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Robert McCoy * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Jamie Orme * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Derek Brown * | 11 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Deante Strickland | 28 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Michael Nuga | 26 | 9-17 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Rashaad Goolsby | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Brendan Rumel | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Michael Mayhew | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter