Model Predictions
| Model | Portland State Vikings | Idaho Vandals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Idaho Vandals -2 (65-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holland Woods * | 37 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 9 | -2.4 |
| Sal Nuhu * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 17 | +0.5 |
| Derek Brown * | 22 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | -1.2 |
| Robert McCoy * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -3.8 |
| Jamie Orme * | 14 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +1.8 |
| Michael Nuga | 20 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -3 | -8.5 |
| Deante Strickland | 20 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -20.0 |
| Rashaad Goolsby | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5.3 |
| Brendan Rumel | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -9.5 |
| Michael Mayhew | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3.5 |
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevon Allen * | 32 | 4-15 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | +0.3 |
| Jared Rodriguez * | 29 | 3-13 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | +5.6 |
| Scott Blakney * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | -5.7 |
| Loseni Kamara * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | +6.5 |
| Cameron Tyson * | 20 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -3.9 |
| Cassius Smits-Francisco | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 15 | +5.8 |
| Xavier Smith | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +9.6 |
| RayQuawndis Mitchell | 14 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -2.5 |
| Geno West | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +6.7 |
| Khadim Samb | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +2.8 |
* = starter