Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Portland State Vikings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.1% | 10.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland State Vikings +12 (81-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sayeed Pridgett * | 38 | 12-17 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 18 | - |
| Ahmaad Rorie * | 37 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Bobby Moorehead * | 30 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Michael Oguine * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Donaven Dorsey * | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Timmy Falls | 25 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Kendal Manuel | 25 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Mack Anderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Portland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holland Woods * | 39 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Sal Nuhu * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Jamie Orme * | 27 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Derek Brown * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Robert McCoy * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Deante Strickland | 26 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Rashaad Goolsby | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Michael Nuga | 18 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Michael Mayhew | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Brendan Rumel | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter