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Portland Pilots

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Portland Pilots
Program History
Coach: Terry Porter

2019 Team Stats (1 games)

77.0
PPG
57.0
Opp
+20.0
Margin
41.7%
FG%
25.0%
3P%
80.0%
FT%
45.0
RPG
13.0
APG
11.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
63.2
Adj PPG
73.3
Adj Opp PPG
#317
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More → Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 740 (#333) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More → 820 (#349) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -10.5 (#315) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → -10.7 (#323) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.130 (#340) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.3 More → 0.161 (#313) AdjNet -14.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.3 More → 0.160 (#312) AdjNet -14.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 73.3 More → 0.285 (#317) AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 73.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.7 | AdjD 71.8 More → 0.285 (#341) AdjO 61.7 | AdjD 71.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.207 (#328) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.207 (#332) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 162 | GP 30 More → 731 (#331) RD 162 | GP 30

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 vs Multnomah Lions W 111 - 103
2018-11-09 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors L 64 - 82
2018-11-10 @ North Texas Mean Green L 73 - 78
2018-11-17 @ Cal State Northridge Matadors W 80 - 77
2018-11-19 vs Lewis & Clark River Otters W 77 - 57
2018-11-21 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 73 - 56
2018-11-23 vs Cal Poly Mustangs W 72 - 67
2018-11-24 vs Texas State Bobcats L 68 - 91
2018-11-28 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 69 - 93
2018-12-05 @ Portland State Vikings L 78 - 87
2018-12-08 vs Sacramento State Hornets W 76 - 67
2018-12-15 vs Grambling Tigers L 58 - 70
2018-12-17 vs Seattle U Redhawks L 56 - 67
2018-12-21 vs Florida A&M Rattlers W 54 - 39
2018-12-29 @ Cal State Fullerton Titans L 64 - 79
2019-01-05 @ Loyola Marymount Lions L 64 - 76
2019-01-10 @ BYU Cougars L 56 - 79
2019-01-12 vs Pacific Tigers L 57 - 65
2019-01-17 vs San Diego Toreros L 55 - 76
2019-01-19 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs L 66 - 89
2019-01-24 @ San Francisco Dons L 61 - 83
2019-01-26 @ Pacific Tigers L 70 - 74
2019-01-31 vs Pepperdine Waves L 58 - 83
2019-02-02 @ Santa Clara Broncos L 63 - 69
2019-02-07 vs BYU Cougars L 48 - 83
2019-02-09 vs Loyola Marymount Lions L 55 - 72
2019-02-16 vs San Francisco Dons L 63 - 68
2019-02-21 @ San Diego Toreros L 52 - 63
2019-02-23 @ Pepperdine Waves L 80 - 86
2019-02-28 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 48 - 65
2019-03-02 vs Santa Clara Broncos L 62 - 78
2019-03-07 @ San Diego Toreros L 47 - 67

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Shaver Jr. M. Shaver Jr. - 2 28.5 17.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 0.0 1.0 13.0 9.0 -156 24 -6.5 -8.6 42.3 27.3 90.0 -1.4 55.9 48.1
J. Walker J. Walker G 29 31.7 11.9 3.2 3.4 1.0 0.0 2.0 1.7 15.9 -105 24 -4.4 -5.8 40.8 35.0 53.3 2.77 309.4 48.0
J. McSwiggan J. McSwiggan G 29 31.3 9.5 3.9 1.6 0.5 0.1 1.6 1.0 13.0 -164 24 -6.8 -9.5 27.6 31.2 89.5 -2.42 368.0 36.2
F. Porter F. Porter G 29 27.8 6.2 4.1 1.9 0.8 0.2 1.6 0.7 10.9 -173 24 -7.2 -10.5 45.0 25.0 25.0 -1.75 415.9 50.0
T. Diabate T. Diabate F 29 13.8 5.5 3.2 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.4 0.8 7.9 -51 24 -2.1 -6.2 56.5 0 25.0 0.51 321.1 56.5
J. Tryon J. Tryon C 18 18.3 5.5 3.3 0.7 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.2 9.3 -87 15 -5.8 -14.3 75.0 66.7 100.0 -1.39 1014.3 100.0
H. Hogland H. Hogland F 27 15.6 4.7 3.3 0.5 0.3 0.4 1.2 0.6 7.3 -111 23 -4.8 -12.6 56.2 0 66.7 -2.26 340.7 56.2
M. Porter M. Porter G 24 12.7 3.8 1.4 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.7 0.5 5.0 -57 19 -3.0 -10.6 61.5 25.0 75.0 -2.14 278.5 65.4
T. Akwuba T. Akwuba - 28 17.0 3.5 4.0 0.2 0.3 1.6 0.8 0.7 8.2 -53 22 -2.4 -5.6 57.9 0 37.5 -1.1 219.8 57.9
C. Clark C. Clark G 13 15.9 3.1 2.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.8 0.2 5.7 -84 11 -7.6 -19.0 50.0 50.0 100.0 -2.99 694.4 75.0
X. Hallinan X. Hallinan G 9 4.8 2.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.0 2.4 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Smith B. Smith - 6 3.8 1.7 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.8 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Phillips J. Phillips - 3 5.7 1.3 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.3 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
T. Fahrensohn T. Fahrensohn G 13 4.8 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.6 -26 9 -2.9 -20.2 50.0 50.0 100.0 -3.08 143.4 62.5
M. Turner M. Turner G 5 3.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.13 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG