Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.9% | 49.1% | -0.2 | ✗ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Pilots +9 (76-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osi Nwachukwu * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Joshua Patton * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 34 | - |
| Marcus Graves * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 26 | - |
| Izayah Mauriohooho-Le'afa * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Calvin Martin * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Bryce Fowler | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Ethan Esposito | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Chibueze Jacobs | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Tolbert | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| James Bridges | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McSwiggan * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | - |
| J. Walker * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 24 | - |
| T. Akwuba * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | - |
| T. Diabate * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| F. Porter | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | - |
| H. Hogland | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 20 | - |
| M. Porter | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
* = starter