Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | +5.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Pilots +5 (72-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Fields * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Mark Crowe * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Marcellus Garrick * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| K. Niziol * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Hank Hollingsworth * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Daxton Carr | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Tuukka Jaakkola | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Job Alexander | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Karlis Garoza | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McSwiggan * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 26 | - |
| J. Walker * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 22 | - |
| F. Porter * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 34 | - |
| T. Akwuba * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 21 | - |
| M. Porter | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| T. Diabate | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| T. Fahrensohn | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter