Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.0% | 99.0% | +25.1 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +17 (65-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Walker * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| F. Porter * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| T. Akwuba * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| T. Diabate * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. McSwiggan | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| H. Hogland | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| J. Tryon | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| C. Clark | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| M. Porter | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Fahrensohn | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Ford * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Malik Fitts * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 29 | - |
| Tommy Kuhse * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Tanner Krebs * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Jordan Hunter * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 24 | - |
| Elijah Thomas | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Matthias Tass | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Dan Fotu | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jock Perry | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dan Sheets | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alex Mudronja | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Quinn Clinton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter