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Pacific

Also known as: Pacific Tigers, Pacific
Program History

2017 Team Stats (6 games)

64.7
PPG
79.2
Opp
-14.5
Margin
41.3%
FG%
34.4%
3P%
62.0%
FT%
32.3
RPG
10.7
APG
9.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.8
Adj PPG
70.3
Adj Opp PPG
#230
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 852 (#256) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 882 (#256) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More โ†’ 920 (#284) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -4.5 (#228) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -5.6 (#260) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.248 (#301) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.6 More โ†’ 0.344 (#220) AdjNet -5.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.7 More โ†’ 0.342 (#220) AdjNet -5.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 70.3 More โ†’ 0.400 (#230) AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 70.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 71.6 More โ†’ 0.380 (#283) AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 71.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.350 (#247) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.346 (#254) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 150 | GP 32 More โ†’ 870 (#257) RD 150 | GP 32

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 @ UCLA Bruins L 80 - 119
2016-11-14 vs Green Bay Phoenix W 76 - 58
2016-11-19 @ UC Irvine Anteaters L 65 - 72
2016-11-22 vs Wyoming Cowboys W 73 - 65
2016-11-29 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 67 - 77
2016-12-01 vs Sacramento State Hornets W 74 - 58
2016-12-03 @ Cal State Fullerton Titans L 77 - 78
2016-12-08 @ Massachusetts Minutemen L 48 - 72
2016-12-10 vs Rider Broncs L 66 - 73
2016-12-15 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies W 66 - 57
2016-12-17 vs Fresno State Bulldogs L 68 - 70
2016-12-20 vs Kennesaw State Owls W 69 - 56
2016-12-23 vs Pacific Union PACIFIC UNION W 102 - 54
2016-12-29 vs Portland Pilots L 76 - 80
2016-12-31 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs L 61 - 81
2017-01-05 @ San Diego Toreros W 56 - 53
2017-01-07 @ BYU Cougars L 62 - 91
2017-01-12 vs Pepperdine Waves W 79 - 74
2017-01-14 @ San Francisco Dons L 51 - 72
2017-01-19 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 50 - 62
2017-01-21 vs BYU Cougars L 47 - 62
2017-01-26 @ Loyola Marymount Lions L 73 - 79
2017-01-28 vs San Francisco Dons L 60 - 81
2017-02-02 vs Saint Mary's Gaels L 70 - 74
2017-02-04 @ Pepperdine Waves L 72 - 82
2017-02-09 vs San Diego Toreros W 61 - 58
2017-02-11 vs Santa Clara Broncos L 47 - 64
2017-02-16 @ Portland Pilots W 76 - 65
2017-02-18 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 61 - 82
2017-02-23 @ Santa Clara Broncos L 68 - 69
2017-02-25 vs Loyola Marymount Lions L 66 - 67
2017-03-03 @ Pepperdine Waves W 89 - 84
2017-03-04 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 50 - 82

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ray Bowles Ray Bowles G 16 35.7 14.9 4.3 2.8 0.7 0.1 1.9 6.8 14.1 -128 23 -5.6 -7.3 32.4 32.4 64.1 -0.51 95.5 37.5
T.J. Wallace T.J. Wallace G 15 31.9 13.1 3.7 3.1 0.5 0.2 2.4 5.5 12.6 -84 21 -4.0 -5.8 42.7 40.0 80.0 -0.05 105.4 48.8
Anthony Townes Anthony Townes F 13 22.2 9.9 6.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 1.0 3.8 13.8 -31 20 -1.6 -2.8 51.0 0 66.7 0.94 113.3 51.0
Jack Williams Jack Williams F 15 24.2 8.9 6.1 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.7 3.9 12.3 -45 23 -2.0 -3.5 42.4 37.5 66.7 1.05 108.7 52.5
Jacob Lampkin Jacob Lampkin F 14 16.9 6.9 4.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.7 2.4 9.6 -64 15 -4.3 -10.9 60.6 0.0 50.0 -1.75 126.7 60.6
David Taylor David Taylor G 12 21.9 6.6 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.9 2.8 5.7 -69 16 -4.3 -10.0 30.3 38.1 0 -1.18 119.7 42.4
D.J. Ursery D.J. Ursery G 15 17.1 6.5 2.9 1.3 0.3 0.1 1.2 3.5 6.5 -36 21 -1.7 -4.5 30.8 20.0 77.3 0.67 79.4 31.7
Tonko Vuko Tonko Vuko F 13 18.4 4.4 5.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.5 1.5 7.8 -89 17 -5.2 -11.7 75.0 100.0 0 -3.26 142.5 80.0
Keshon Montague Keshon Montague G 6 12.7 2.5 0.8 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.8 3.0 -19 15 -1.3 -3.9 36.4 40.0 0 0.65 68.2 45.5
K.J. Smith K.J. Smith G 13 11.6 2.4 0.7 0.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.5 -78 14 -5.6 -18.2 13.3 0.0 0.0 -4.88 100.4 13.3
Sami Eleraky Sami Eleraky C 11 9.9 1.6 3.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.8 1.1 3.3 -62 14 -4.4 -22.4 16.7 0 0.0 -2.75 65.4 16.7
Ilias Theodorou Ilias Theodorou F 2 4.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 4 7 0.6 4.1 50.0 100.0 0 0.45 75.0 75.0
Maleke Haynes Maleke Haynes G 10 12.1 1.4 1.5 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.9 1.2 2.5 -36 18 -2.0 -6.6 25.0 0.0 50.0 -0.77 54.3 25.0
Max Tinsley Max Tinsley G 7 8.4 1.3 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.3 -39 13 -3.0 -11.2 33.3 0.0 50.0 -3.96 116.0 33.3
Dominic Rector Dominic Rector F 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -0.86 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG