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2016-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Rider Broncs Pacific Tigers Spread Result
Elo 63.8% 36.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 60.0% 40.0% - โœ“
Margin 42.7% 57.3% +1.6 โœ— (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 63.7% 36.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 46.3% 53.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 46.3% 53.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 46.4% 53.6% - โœ—

Actual: Pacific Tigers -7 (66-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Rider Broncs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kahlil Thomas * 36 6-14 1-2 4-9 14 3 0 2 2 17 20 -
Xavier Lundy * 31 3-7 3-4 0-0 1 0 0 2 2 9 3 -
Jimmie Taylor * 31 4-10 3-8 3-4 4 0 0 0 1 14 7 -
Norville Carey * 25 1-5 0-1 1-1 7 0 0 1 1 3 5 -
Stevie Jordan * 16 3-5 2-2 4-4 2 6 0 0 0 12 15 -
Kealen Washington-Ives 24 3-5 0-1 1-1 3 3 0 0 3 7 5 -
Dimencio Vaughn 18 2-4 0-1 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
Tyere Marshall 11 0-2 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
Anthony Durham 8 3-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ray Bowles * 38 6-20 4-7 5-6 6 0 0 0 2 21 5 -
T.J. Wallace * 35 4-15 0-3 4-5 2 6 0 0 2 12 3 -
David Taylor * 21 4-9 3-6 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 11 7 -
Sami Eleraky * 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Tonko Vuko * 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
Jack Williams 23 1-10 1-5 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 3 -3 -
Anthony Townes 21 4-6 0-0 3-3 12 1 0 0 0 11 18 -
Jacob Lampkin 14 1-1 0-0 0-2 9 0 0 0 1 2 9 -
D.J. Ursery 13 0-3 0-1 2-2 1 3 0 0 0 2 3 -
K.J. Smith 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Maleke Haynes 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter