Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.3% | 79.7% | +7.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers +16 (74-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Graves * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Justin Strings * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Eric Stuteville * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Izayah Mauriohooho-Le'afa * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Nick Hornsby * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Grant Dressler | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Trevis Jackson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jeff Wu | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Joshua Patton | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Matt Battaglia | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chibueze Jacobs | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| James Herrick | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Bowles * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 26 | - |
| T.J. Wallace * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 25 | - |
| David Taylor * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Tonko Vuko * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19 | - |
| Sami Eleraky * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jack Williams | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Anthony Townes | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| K.J. Smith | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| D.J. Ursery | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jacob Lampkin | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter