🐻⬇️🏀

Fresno State Bulldogs 70
@
Pacific Tigers 68
2016-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Fresno State Bulldogs Pacific Tigers Spread Result
Elo 75.9% 24.1% -9.7 ✓ (7.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 71.9% 28.1% - ✓
Margin 76.3% 23.7% -6.4 ✓ (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 67.1% 32.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 82.9% 17.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 83.1% 16.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 62.6% 37.4% - ✓

Actual: Pacific Tigers -2 (68-70). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul Watson * 44 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 18 22 -
Cullen Russo * 43 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 3 3 2 1 13 29 -
Jahmel Taylor * 43 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 2 0 1 8 18 -
Terrell Carter II 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 7 7 -
Deshon Taylor 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 0 5 -
Sam Bittner 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ray Bowles * 45 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 0 1 2 16 25 -
Anthony Townes * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 1 1 1 3 16 28 -
T.J. Wallace * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 17 19 -
D.J. Ursery * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 5 4 2 -
Jacob Lampkin * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 2 7 -
Maleke Haynes 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 2 5 -
Tonko Vuko 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 0 8 16 -
K.J. Smith 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
Jack Williams 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 3 8 -
Max Tinsley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Sami Eleraky 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter