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Pacific

Also known as: Pacific Tigers, Pacific
Program History

2017 Team Stats (6 games)

64.7
PPG
79.2
Opp
-14.5
Margin
41.3%
FG%
34.4%
3P%
62.0%
FT%
32.3
RPG
10.7
APG
9.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.8
Adj PPG
70.3
Adj Opp PPG
#230
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 852 (#256) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 882 (#256) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More โ†’ 920 (#284) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -4.5 (#228) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -5.6 (#260) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.248 (#301) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.6 More โ†’ 0.344 (#220) AdjNet -5.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.7 More โ†’ 0.342 (#220) AdjNet -5.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 70.3 More โ†’ 0.400 (#230) AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 70.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 71.6 More โ†’ 0.380 (#283) AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 71.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.350 (#247) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.346 (#254) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 150 | GP 32 More โ†’ 870 (#257) RD 150 | GP 32

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 @ UCLA Bruins L 80 - 119
2016-11-14 vs Green Bay Phoenix W 76 - 58
2016-11-19 @ UC Irvine Anteaters L 65 - 72
2016-11-22 vs Wyoming Cowboys W 73 - 65
2016-11-29 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 67 - 77
2016-12-01 vs Sacramento State Hornets W 74 - 58
2016-12-03 @ Cal State Fullerton Titans L 77 - 78
2016-12-08 @ Massachusetts Minutemen L 48 - 72
2016-12-10 vs Rider Broncs L 66 - 73
2016-12-15 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies W 66 - 57
2016-12-17 vs Fresno State Bulldogs L 68 - 70
2016-12-20 vs Kennesaw State Owls W 69 - 56
2016-12-23 vs Pacific Union PACIFIC UNION W 102 - 54
2016-12-29 vs Portland Pilots L 76 - 80
2016-12-31 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs L 61 - 81
2017-01-05 @ San Diego Toreros W 56 - 53
2017-01-07 @ BYU Cougars L 62 - 91
2017-01-12 vs Pepperdine Waves W 79 - 74
2017-01-14 @ San Francisco Dons L 51 - 72
2017-01-19 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 50 - 62
2017-01-21 vs BYU Cougars L 47 - 62
2017-01-26 @ Loyola Marymount Lions L 73 - 79
2017-01-28 vs San Francisco Dons L 60 - 81
2017-02-02 vs Saint Mary's Gaels L 70 - 74
2017-02-04 @ Pepperdine Waves L 72 - 82
2017-02-09 vs San Diego Toreros W 61 - 58
2017-02-11 vs Santa Clara Broncos L 47 - 64
2017-02-16 @ Portland Pilots W 76 - 65
2017-02-18 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 61 - 82
2017-02-23 @ Santa Clara Broncos L 68 - 69
2017-02-25 vs Loyola Marymount Lions L 66 - 67
2017-03-03 @ Pepperdine Waves W 89 - 84
2017-03-04 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 50 - 82

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ray Bowles Ray Bowles G 16 35.7 14.9 4.3 2.8 0.7 0.1 1.9 6.8 14.1 -128 23 -5.6 -7.3 32.4 32.4 64.1 -0.51 95.5 37.5
T.J. Wallace T.J. Wallace G 15 31.9 13.1 3.7 3.1 0.5 0.2 2.4 5.5 12.6 -84 21 -4.0 -5.8 42.7 40.0 80.0 -0.05 105.4 48.8
Anthony Townes Anthony Townes F 13 22.2 9.9 6.8 0.6 0.6 0.7 1.0 3.8 13.8 -31 20 -1.6 -2.8 51.0 0 66.7 0.94 113.3 51.0
Jack Williams Jack Williams F 15 24.2 8.9 6.1 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.7 3.9 12.3 -45 23 -2.0 -3.5 42.4 37.5 66.7 1.05 108.7 52.5
Jacob Lampkin Jacob Lampkin F 14 16.9 6.9 4.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.7 2.4 9.6 -64 15 -4.3 -10.9 60.6 0.0 50.0 -1.75 126.7 60.6
David Taylor David Taylor G 12 21.9 6.6 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.9 2.8 5.7 -69 16 -4.3 -10.0 30.3 38.1 0 -1.18 119.7 42.4
D.J. Ursery D.J. Ursery G 15 17.1 6.5 2.9 1.3 0.3 0.1 1.2 3.5 6.5 -36 21 -1.7 -4.5 30.8 20.0 77.3 0.67 79.4 31.7
Tonko Vuko Tonko Vuko F 13 18.4 4.4 5.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.5 1.5 7.8 -89 17 -5.2 -11.7 75.0 100.0 0 -3.26 142.5 80.0
Keshon Montague Keshon Montague G 6 12.7 2.5 0.8 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.8 3.0 -19 15 -1.3 -3.9 36.4 40.0 0 0.65 68.2 45.5
K.J. Smith K.J. Smith G 13 11.6 2.4 0.7 0.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.5 -78 14 -5.6 -18.2 13.3 0.0 0.0 -4.88 100.4 13.3
Sami Eleraky Sami Eleraky C 11 9.9 1.6 3.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.8 1.1 3.3 -62 14 -4.4 -22.4 16.7 0 0.0 -2.75 65.4 16.7
Ilias Theodorou Ilias Theodorou F 2 4.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 4 7 0.6 4.1 50.0 100.0 0 0.45 75.0 75.0
Maleke Haynes Maleke Haynes G 10 12.1 1.4 1.5 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.9 1.2 2.5 -36 18 -2.0 -6.6 25.0 0.0 50.0 -0.77 54.3 25.0
Max Tinsley Max Tinsley G 7 8.4 1.3 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.3 -39 13 -3.0 -11.2 33.3 0.0 50.0 -3.96 116.0 33.3
Dominic Rector Dominic Rector F 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -0.86 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG