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Oregon State Beavers

Also known as: Oregon State Beavers
Program History

2026 Team Stats (31 games)

71.0
PPG
74.1
Opp
-3.1
Margin
42.4%
FG%
35.0%
3P%
77.0%
FT%
32.6
RPG
14.0
APG
12.0
TO
75.2
Pace
73.3
AdjO
72.7
AdjD
#154
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1056 (#133) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1004 (#176) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 996 (#356) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -0.2 (#168) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +14.2 (#165) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.382 (#242) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -47.7 More → 0.005 (#361) NetEff -47.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.8 More → 0.524 (#156) AdjNet +0.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.8 More → 0.524 (#156) AdjNet +0.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 72.7 More → 0.513 (#154) AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 72.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 71.3 More → 0.511 (#223) AdjO 71.7 | AdjD 71.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.768 (#166) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.729 (#164) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 143 | GP 31 More → 1123 (#117) RD 143 | GP 31

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs North Dakota State Bison W 67 - 65
2025-11-07 vs UIC Flames W 76 - 73
2025-11-12 vs North Texas Mean Green W 66 - 64
2025-11-17 @ Oregon Ducks L 75 - 87
2025-11-21 vs Evansville Purple Aces L 69 - 73
2025-11-22 vs Iona Gaels L 84 - 91
2025-11-24 vs Massachusetts Minutemen L 65 - 73
2025-11-29 vs California Baptist Lancers L 69 - 75
2025-12-03 vs Vermont Catamounts W 80 - 58
2025-12-13 vs Montana State Bobcats W 67 - 57
2025-12-17 vs Sam Houston Bearkats L 75 - 85
2025-12-21 @ Arizona State Sun Devils W 78 - 75
2025-12-28 vs Santa Clara Broncos L 64 - 102
2025-12-30 vs San Francisco Dons W 70 - 62
2026-01-02 @ Pacific Tigers L 53 - 84
2026-01-04 @ Washington State Cougars L 67 - 81
2026-01-08 vs Seattle U Redhawks W 68 - 55
2026-01-10 @ Portland Pilots L 76 - 82
2026-01-14 vs Loyola Marymount Lions W 76 - 70
2026-01-21 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 51 - 81
2026-01-28 @ Loyola Marymount Lions W 72 - 69
2026-01-31 @ San Diego Toreros W 78 - 76
2026-02-04 vs Washington State Cougars W 74 - 64
2026-02-07 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs L 61 - 81
2026-02-12 @ San Francisco Dons W 90 - 63
2026-02-15 @ Seattle U Redhawks L 50 - 60
2026-02-21 vs Pepperdine Waves W 83 - 73
2026-02-25 vs San Diego Toreros W 92 - 82
2026-02-28 @ Santa Clara Broncos L 72 - 93
2026-03-08 vs San Francisco Dons W 78 - 77
2026-03-09 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 56 - 65

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Lake J. Lake G 31 34.6 13.3 4.0 4.3 1.4 0.4 2.3 8.5 12.4 - - - 46.8 38.7 81.5 - 61.7 53.6
I. Sy I. Sy F 31 27.8 10.2 4.8 1.7 0.6 0.4 1.3 8.4 7.8 -39 -1.6 -3.2 34.5 35.6 86.9 -0.46 52.9 46.4
D. White D. White G 28 29.3 9.4 2.7 2.1 0.9 0.1 1.3 8.5 5.6 -18 -0.9 -5.8 36.3 36.8 78.0 -0.39 51.8 48.9
J. Munch J. Munch F 29 21.2 7.7 5.2 1.1 0.8 0.6 1.4 5.4 8.4 -32 -1.5 -3.4 51.0 12.5 62.9 -0.02 55.6 51.3
Y. Yaak Y. Yaak - 23 15.2 6.7 2.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 1.0 3.9 5.1 -25 -1.5 -4.7 52.2 30.0 82.4 -0.41 63.8 53.9
J. Diaz Graham J. Diaz Graham F 30 18.0 6.0 3.7 0.9 0.5 1.0 0.9 3.7 7.4 41 2.7 6.6 42.9 36.1 82.7 0.32 62.1 52.7
Olavi Suutela Olavi Suutela - 31 17.4 5.5 2.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 1.0 3.5 5.0 19 1.5 11.4 57.4 37.9 67.3 -0.12 64.9 62.5
N. Amenhauser N. Amenhauser - 27 12.4 5.1 2.1 0.4 0.0 0.6 0.8 3.3 4.1 -82 -3.3 -19.7 57.3 0 70.0 -0.85 61.7 57.3
Keziah Ekissi Keziah Ekissi - 26 17.5 4.9 1.8 1.8 0.6 0.0 1.1 4.2 3.7 -66 -3.7 -10.4 36.4 35.6 67.4 0.01 48.8 43.6
M. Christie M. Christie - 14 13.0 4.7 0.9 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.4 3.9 1.9 -13 -3.2 -15.2 36.4 40.0 75.0 -0.06 56.4 54.5
Matija Samar Matija Samar - 27 16.1 4.7 1.9 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.9 4.5 2.9 -52 -2.4 -36.5 32.0 29.5 91.7 -0.07 47.5 42.6
J. Williford J. Williford - 9 6.4 2.1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 3.2 -0.3 -7 -0.9 -6.4 24.1 11.1 75.0 0.02 30.9 27.6
Stephen Olowoniyi Stephen Olowoniyi F 7 5.1 1.6 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 1.7 0.4 -4 -0.7 -6.8 41.7 0 50.0 -0.01 42.7 41.7
G. Marrs G. Marrs F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Kaan Yarkut Kaan Yarkut F 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG