Model Predictions
| Model | Oregon State Beavers | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.1% | 95.9% | +22.3 | ✓ (13.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.9% | 99.1% | +25.6 | ✓ (16.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +9 (65-56). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Lake II * | 35 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +11.8 |
| Isaiah Sy * | 35 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -0.1 |
| Jorge Diaz Graham * | 33 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 21 | +13.7 |
| Dez White * | 31 | 2-9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | -7.5 |
| Yaak Yaak * | 15 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | -2.7 |
| Noah Amenhauser | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +1.7 |
| Keziah Ekissi | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -1.2 |
| Olavi Suutela | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -10.3 |
| M. Samar | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +2.5 |
| Johan Munch | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +2.5 |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Ike * | 36 | 10-17 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 18 | +6.8 |
| Adam Miller * | 32 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -4.4 |
| Emmanuel Innocenti * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | +1.8 |
| Jalen Warley * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -1.4 |
| M. Saint-Supéry * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -6.0 |
| Braeden Smith | 21 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Davis Fogle | 20 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | +6.2 |
| Tyon Grant-Foster | 17 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Ismaila Diagne | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.7 |
* = starter