Model Predictions
| Model | San Francisco Dons | Oregon State Beavers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.7% | 52.3% | -0.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.8% | 46.2% | -1.7 | ✗ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oregon State Beavers +1 (78-77). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Beasley * | 35 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 9-11 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 23 | - |
| David Fuchs * | 35 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Tyrone Riley IV * | 34 | 10-20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 11 | +5.6 |
| Legend Smiley * | 32 | 6-8 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Junjie Wang * | 28 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Guillermo Diaz-Graham | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Vukasin Masic | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mookie Cook | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Saba Gigiberia | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -9.4 |
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Lake II * | 34 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Isaiah Sy * | 32 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | +1.1 |
| Jorge Diaz-Graham * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Olavi Suutela * | 19 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Johan Munch * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -9.3 |
| Dez White | 35 | 6-10 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Noah Amenhauser | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Yaak Yaak | 9 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Keziah Ekissi | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Matija Samar | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter