Ohio State - 2026-2027

2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)

91.7

PPG

42.3

Opp

+49.3

Margin

49.8%

FG%

28.8%

3P%

80.0%

FT%

47.0

RPG

19.3

APG

17.7

TO

76.8

Est. poss./game

71.9

Adj PPG

46.9

Adj Opp PPG

#4

Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1489 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1242, returning +304, transfers -58, freshmen +0 More →	1493 (#14)	Preseason prior 1489 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1242, returning +304, transfers -58, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +215 elo More →	1338 (#15)	HCA +215 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +215 elo More →	1173 (#14)	HCA +215 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +9.3 More →	+35.2 (#4)	HCA +9.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +9.3 More →	+34.4 (#4)	HCA +9.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.996 (#5)	-
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +49.8 More →	0.967 (#3)	AdjNet +49.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +50.2 More →	0.971 (#2)	AdjNet +50.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.9 \| AdjD 46.9 More →	0.922 (#4)	AdjO 71.9 \| AdjD 46.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.9 \| AdjD 46.9 More →	0.886 (#4)	AdjO 71.9 \| AdjD 46.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.950 (#4)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.946 (#4)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 201 \| GP 2 More →	1351 (#15)	RD 201 \| GP 2
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Preseason prior only; more training games are needed for a forecast. More →	0.985 (#14)	Preseason prior only; more training games are needed for a forecast.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2026-11-02	vs	UIC Flames	W	81 - 34
2026-11-05	vs	Central Michigan Chippewas	W	103 - 36
2026-11-08	vs	Mercyhurst Lakers	W	91 - 57
2026-11-12	vs	UConn Huskies	-	Preview
2026-11-15	vs	Fairleigh Dickinson Knights	-	Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Show Alumni If everyone stayed four years

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM GP	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
Jaloni Cambridge	G	3	25.7	20.7	4.7	6.0	2.0	0.3	3.0	14.0	16.7	-	-	-	-	52.4	35.3	85.7	-	64.4	59.5
Elsa Lemmilä	C	3	22.3	16.3	9.0	1.7	0.7	2.7	1.0	6.3	23.0	83	2	41.5	89.1	94.7	100.0	85.7	6.0	97.4	97.4
Sydney Mobley	F	3	17.0	13.0	3.0	0.0	1.0	1.0	1.0	8.3	8.7	20	2	10.0	23.4	68.0	50.0	66.7	-1.02	70.5	70.0
Kennedy Cambridge	G	3	26.7	12.3	6.7	2.0	4.0	0.7	3.3	7.3	15.0	90	2	45.0	74.2	63.6	36.4	100.0	7.82	76.4	72.7
Ava Watson	G	3	26.3	11.7	2.3	3.3	3.7	0.0	2.3	11.0	7.7	89	2	44.5	73.2	39.4	34.8	50.0	4.56	51.7	51.5
Kylee Kitts	G	3	23.0	8.3	8.0	2.3	0.0	0.3	2.0	7.7	9.3	70	2	35.0	62.6	43.5	0.0	71.4	2.7	47.9	43.5
Adriana Diaz	F	3	17.7	5.0	4.7	2.0	2.7	0.3	1.7	4.7	8.3	41	2	20.5	43.7	21.4	0.0	81.8	1.41	39.8	21.4
Bryn Martin	G	3	21.0	2.7	0.7	0.7	1.7	0.7	1.3	4.3	0.7	41	2	20.5	39.4	23.1	28.6	0.0	2.18	29.8	30.8
Seini Henry	F	3	10.0	1.0	2.7	0.0	0.7	0.0	1.7	1.7	1.0	13	2	6.5	25.2	20.0	33.3	0	0.69	30.0	30.0
Atlee Vanesko	G	3	10.3	0.7	1.3	1.3	0.0	0.0	0.3	3.0	0.0	-3	2	-1.5	-6.0	11.1	0.0	0	-2.72	11.1	11.1
Ella Hobbs	F	0	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Every program's alumni →

Former Ohio State players in WNBA 2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Ohio State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player	At School	League	Team	GP	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	Last game	Last 30 days
Kelsey Mitchell	2014-18	WNBA	Indiana Fever	44	32.5	24.7	1.7	2.8	10-01 23 pts, 2 reb, 2 ast Playoffs	no games
Cotie McMahon	2022-25	WNBA	Washington Mystics	42	19.6	6.6	2.9	1.9	09-30 0 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast Playoffs	no games
Jacy Sheldon	2019-24	WNBA	Chicago Sky	44	20.6	6.4	1.4	1.8	09-24 4 pts, 2 reb, 2 ast	no games
Dorka Juhász	2018-21	WNBA	Minnesota Lynx	21	15.2	3.6	3.1	1.4	09-29 0 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast Playoffs	no games
Chance Gray	2024-26	WNBA	Los Angeles Sparks	40	11.4	3.1	1.1	1.0	09-24 3 pts, 1 reb, 1 ast	no games
Kierstan Bell	2019-20	WNBA	Las Vegas Aces	29	9.8	2.1	1.5	0.6	10-07 0 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast Playoffs	no games
Taylor Thierry	2021-25	WNBA	Seattle Storm	17	9.8	1.9	1.7	0.5	09-23 3 pts, 1 reb, 2 ast	no games

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date	Player	League	Team	Opponent	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	Box
2026-10-07	Kierstan Bell	WNBA Playoffs	Las Vegas Aces	@ Golden State Valkyries	1	0	0	0	Box
2026-10-04	Kierstan Bell	WNBA Playoffs	Las Vegas Aces	@ Golden State Valkyries	21	3	2	0	Box
2026-10-01	Kelsey Mitchell	WNBA Playoffs	Indiana Fever	@ Las Vegas Aces	36	23	2	2	Box
2026-09-30	Cotie McMahon	WNBA Playoffs	Washington Mystics	vs Atlanta Dream	1	0	0	0	Box
2026-09-29	Kierstan Bell	WNBA Playoffs	Las Vegas Aces	@ Indiana Fever	1	0	0	0	Box
2026-09-29	Kelsey Mitchell	WNBA Playoffs	Indiana Fever	vs Las Vegas Aces	34	26	1	0	Box
2026-09-29	Dorka Juhász	WNBA Playoffs	Minnesota Lynx	@ New York Liberty	11	0	0	0	Box
2026-09-27	Kelsey Mitchell	WNBA Playoffs	Indiana Fever	@ Las Vegas Aces	30	12	0	3	Box
2026-09-27	Dorka Juhász	WNBA Playoffs	Minnesota Lynx	vs New York Liberty	8	0	0	1	Box
2026-09-27	Cotie McMahon	WNBA Playoffs	Washington Mystics	@ Atlanta Dream	20	4	0	3	Box
2026-09-24	Jacy Sheldon	WNBA	Chicago Sky	@ Washington Mystics	19	4	2	2	Box
2026-09-24	Dorka Juhász	WNBA	Minnesota Lynx	vs Indiana Fever	10	2	2	1	Box
2026-09-24	Cotie McMahon	WNBA	Washington Mystics	vs Chicago Sky	19	12	1	0	Box
2026-09-24	Chance Gray	WNBA	Los Angeles Sparks	vs Golden State Valkyries	9	3	1	1	Box
2026-09-23	Taylor Thierry	WNBA	Seattle Storm	vs Dallas Wings	12	3	1	2	Box
2026-09-22	Jacy Sheldon	WNBA	Chicago Sky	vs Toronto Tempo	18	12	2	4	Box
2026-09-22	Chance Gray	WNBA	Los Angeles Sparks	@ Las Vegas Aces	15	1	0	3	Box
2026-09-20	Taylor Thierry	WNBA	Seattle Storm	@ Las Vegas Aces	18	6	3	0	Box
2026-09-20	Chance Gray	WNBA	Los Angeles Sparks	vs Portland Fire	17	11	1	0	Box
2026-09-19	Taylor Thierry	WNBA	Seattle Storm	@ Golden State Valkyries	31	7	3	2	Box
2026-09-19	Jacy Sheldon	WNBA	Chicago Sky	@ Atlanta Dream	24	9	1	4	Box

2026-2027 Shot Zones

205 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Points: who the team's points here most likely come from

Misses: who misses most here

Jaloni CambridgeElsa LemmiläSydney MobleyAva WatsonKennedy CambridgeKylee KittsBryn MartinAdriana DiazAtlee Vanesko

Zone	FGM-FGA	FG%	Pts	Top scorer	Runner-up	Most misses	Runner-up
Restricted area	51-63	81.0	102	Sydney Mobley 24% (24 pts)	Elsa Lemmilä 22% (22 pts)	Sydney Mobley 25% (3 misses)	Adriana Diaz 17% (2 misses)
Paint (non-RA)	21-42	50.0	42	Elsa Lemmilä 24% (10 pts)	Kennedy Cambridge 19% (8 pts)	Kylee Kitts 29% (6 misses)	Jaloni Cambridge 24% (5 misses)
Mid-range left	3-7	42.9	6	Jaloni Cambridge 67% (4 pts)	Elsa Lemmilä 33% (2 pts)	Bryn Martin 50% (2 misses)	Ava Watson 25% (1 misses)
Mid-range center	2-7	28.6	4	Ava Watson 50% (2 pts)	Jaloni Cambridge 50% (2 pts)	Kylee Kitts 40% (2 misses)	Adriana Diaz 20% (1 misses)
Mid-range right	2-6	33.3	4	Ava Watson 50% (2 pts)	Jaloni Cambridge 50% (2 pts)	Ava Watson 50% (2 misses)	Atlee Vanesko 25% (1 misses)
Left corner 3	4-11	36.4	12	Kennedy Cambridge 50% (6 pts)	Ava Watson 25% (3 pts)	Atlee Vanesko 29% (2 misses)	Ava Watson 29% (2 misses)
Right corner 3	5-12	41.7	15	Ava Watson 80% (12 pts)	Bryn Martin 20% (3 pts)	Ava Watson 29% (2 misses)	Bryn Martin 29% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 left	6-27	22.2	18	Ava Watson 33% (6 pts)	Jaloni Cambridge 33% (6 pts)	Jaloni Cambridge 33% (7 misses)	Ava Watson 19% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 center	2-7	28.6	6	Elsa Lemmilä 50% (3 pts)	Jaloni Cambridge 50% (3 pts)	Adriana Diaz 80% (4 misses)	Atlee Vanesko 20% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right	6-23	26.1	18	Jaloni Cambridge 50% (9 pts)	Ava Watson 17% (3 pts)	Ava Watson 41% (7 misses)	Bryn Martin 18% (3 misses)