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Orlando Magic

Also known as: Orlando Magic
Program History

2005 Team Stats (77 games)

99.8
PPG
102.0
Opp
-2.2
Margin
45.6%
FG%
35.4%
3P%
75.9%
FT%
43.7
RPG
19.5
APG
15.7
TO
97.0
Est. poss./game
98.0
Adj PPG
100.5
Adj Opp PPG
#23
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2004-2005
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 825 (#25) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 949 (#21) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +61 elo More โ†’ 926 (#23) HCA +61 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -2.5 (#23) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.8 More โ†’ -4.8 (#25) HCA +3.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.436 (#22) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -2.2 More โ†’ 0.440 (#22) NetEff -2.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.4 More โ†’ 0.431 (#23) AdjNet -2.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.4 More โ†’ 0.431 (#23) AdjNet -2.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 98.0 | AdjD 100.5 More โ†’ 0.444 (#23) AdjO 98.0 | AdjD 100.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 97.4 | AdjD 101.4 More โ†’ 0.410 (#25) AdjO 97.4 | AdjD 101.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.380 (#24) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.373 (#24) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 263 | GP 82 More โ†’ 926 (#23) RD 263 | GP 82

2005 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2004-11-03 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 93 - 92
2004-11-05 @ New Orleans Pelicans W 90 - 89
2004-11-06 @ Charlotte Hornets L 100 - 111
2004-11-09 vs Dallas Mavericks W 94 - 84
2004-11-10 @ Washington Wizards L 96 - 106
2004-11-12 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 122 - 113
2004-11-14 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 87 - 96
2004-11-17 vs Utah Jazz W 107 - 92
2004-11-20 @ Indiana Pacers - Incomplete score
2004-11-24 vs Portland Trail Blazers L 83 - 89
2004-11-26 @ Atlanta Hawks W 117 - 99
2004-11-27 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 105 - 99
2004-11-29 vs Boston Celtics L 101 - 117
2004-12-01 vs Toronto Raptors W 129 - 108
2004-12-03 @ New York Knicks W 104 - 98
2004-12-04 vs Memphis Grizzlies W 96 - 91
2004-12-08 @ Utah Jazz W 106 - 100
2004-12-10 @ Golden State Warriors W 113 - 109
2004-12-12 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 98 - 105
2004-12-13 @ Phoenix Suns L 100 - 121
2004-12-15 @ San Antonio Spurs L 91 - 94
2004-12-18 vs Denver Nuggets W 117 - 95
2004-12-19 @ Miami Heat L 107 - 117
2004-12-22 vs San Antonio Spurs W 93 - 87
2004-12-27 vs New York Knicks L 111 - 119
2004-12-29 vs Milwaukee Bucks L 105 - 111
2005-01-01 @ Chicago Bulls L 90 - 105
2005-01-03 @ Toronto Raptors L 94 - 105
2005-01-05 vs Oklahoma City Thunder W 105 - 87
2005-01-07 vs Charlotte Hornets W 111 - 91
2005-01-08 vs Brooklyn Nets W 104 - 101
2005-01-10 @ Boston Celtics L 101 - 119
2005-01-12 @ Minnesota Timberwolves W 87 - 80
2005-01-14 @ Detroit Pistons - Incomplete score
2005-01-15 @ Indiana Pacers W 85 - 84
2005-01-18 vs Detroit Pistons W 103 - 101
2005-01-20 vs Houston Rockets L 99 - 108
2005-01-22 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 115 - 111
2005-01-24 @ Houston Rockets L 78 - 89
2005-01-25 @ Memphis Grizzlies L 83 - 95
2005-01-28 vs Washington Wizards W 108 - 101
2005-01-29 @ Washington Wizards W 103 - 97
2005-01-31 @ Atlanta Hawks L 79 - 80
2005-02-01 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 105 - 102
2005-02-04 @ Boston Celtics L 100 - 112
2005-02-05 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 92 - 101
2005-02-08 vs Golden State Warriors L 109 - 113
2005-02-10 vs Atlanta Hawks W 101 - 96
2005-02-12 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 99 - 112
2005-02-13 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 97 - 94
2005-02-15 vs LA Clippers W 99 - 94
2005-02-22 vs Indiana Pacers L 84 - 108
2005-02-26 @ Miami Heat L 98 - 101
2005-02-27 vs Miami Heat L 103 - 112
2005-03-02 vs Sacramento Kings W 114 - 111
2005-03-04 vs New York Knicks W 111 - 89
2005-03-05 @ Brooklyn Nets W 105 - 81
2005-03-08 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 92 - 111
2005-03-09 @ Toronto Raptors L 96 - 106
2005-03-11 vs Minnesota Timberwolves L 96 - 101
2005-03-13 vs Brooklyn Nets L 82 - 98
2005-03-15 @ Sacramento Kings L 94 - 105
2005-03-16 @ LA Clippers L 102 - 110
2005-03-18 @ Oklahoma City Thunder L 90 - 98
2005-03-19 @ Portland Trail Blazers - Incomplete score
2005-03-21 @ Charlotte Hornets - Incomplete score
2005-03-24 vs Charlotte Hornets L 94 - 108
2005-03-26 vs Phoenix Suns L 116 - 118
2005-03-28 vs Atlanta Hawks W 109 - 102
2005-03-30 vs Toronto Raptors W 108 - 96
2005-04-01 vs Washington Wizards L 102 - 111
2005-04-02 @ Brooklyn Nets W 103 - 102
2005-04-05 @ Dallas Mavericks L 105 - 114
2005-04-06 vs Chicago Bulls L 101 - 102
2005-04-08 vs Detroit Pistons L 102 - 114
2005-04-11 vs Cleveland Cavaliers L 106 - 114
2005-04-13 @ Detroit Pistons L 94 - 103
2005-04-15 @ Chicago Bulls L 77 - 117
2005-04-16 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 103 - 113
2005-04-18 vs Indiana Pacers W 92 - 88
2005-04-20 vs Miami Heat L 93 - 98

2005 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Steve Francis G 75 38.0 21.3 5.8 7.0 1.4 0.4 4.0 17.1 14.8 - - - - 42.2 30.6 82.3 - 52.0 43.7
Grant Hill G 62 34.9 19.4 4.7 3.3 1.4 0.4 2.4 15.2 11.6 - - - - 50.4 23.1 81.6 - 55.9 50.6
Cuttino Mobley G 22 31.3 16.0 2.7 1.8 1.0 0.4 1.9 12.9 7.2 - - - - 42.6 45.8 83.3 - 56.2 52.3
Hedo Turkoglu G 62 26.1 14.3 3.5 2.3 0.6 0.3 1.8 11.6 7.6 - - - - 43.1 39.8 83.8 - 54.6 49.4
Dwight Howard Dwight Howard G 77 32.4 11.9 10.0 0.9 0.9 1.7 2.0 8.2 15.2 - - - - 52.3 0.0 66.9 - 57.3 52.3
Jameer Nelson G 74 20.1 8.5 2.4 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 7.8 5.8 - - - - 45.8 31.3 66.7 - 51.3 49.5
DeShawn Stevenson G 50 19.7 8.0 1.8 1.3 0.3 0.1 1.1 7.6 2.7 - - - - 42.0 37.3 55.6 - 47.1 45.3
Kelvin Cato G 57 24.3 6.9 6.6 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.0 4.8 10.6 - - - - 53.9 0 77.0 - 59.9 53.9
Doug Christie G 21 25.2 5.7 2.6 2.2 1.8 0.2 1.7 6.1 4.6 - - - - 36.7 21.7 90.9 - 43.2 38.7
Andre Barrett G 11 15.3 5.6 1.9 2.5 0.5 0.1 1.0 5.0 4.5 - - - - 45.5 33.3 77.8 - 52.6 50.0
Tony Battie G 77 23.6 4.9 5.7 0.5 0.4 1.0 1.0 4.3 7.1 - - - - 46.7 0.0 74.2 - 50.7 46.7
Pat Garrity G 69 13.4 4.6 1.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.4 4.3 2.4 - - - - 40.4 33.3 87.9 - 50.7 48.3
Stacey Augmon G 53 12.2 3.6 1.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.6 3.1 3.0 - - - - 40.9 0 74.0 - 48.3 40.9
Brandon Hunter G 29 6.9 3.0 2.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.2 2.7 - - - - 50.8 0 56.8 - 53.5 50.8
Mario Kasun G 41 8.1 2.8 3.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 2.3 3.6 - - - - 47.9 0.0 53.7 - 50.0 47.9
Mark Jones G 10 11.5 2.3 1.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3 3.1 1.5 - - - - 29.0 0.0 50.0 - 32.5 29.0
Andrew DeClercq G 8 6.1 1.1 1.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.4 - - - - 44.4 0 33.3 - 43.6 44.4
Michael Bradley G 8 6.8 0.8 1.8 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.9 2.1 - - - - 42.9 0 0 - 42.9 42.9

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG