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Orlando Magic

Also known as: Orlando Magic
Program History

2005 Team Stats (77 games)

99.8
PPG
102.0
Opp
-2.2
Margin
45.6%
FG%
35.4%
3P%
75.9%
FT%
43.7
RPG
19.5
APG
15.7
TO
97.0
Est. poss./game
98.0
Adj PPG
100.5
Adj Opp PPG
#23
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2004-2005
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 825 (#25) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 949 (#21) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +61 elo More โ†’ 926 (#23) HCA +61 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -2.5 (#23) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.8 More โ†’ -4.8 (#25) HCA +3.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.436 (#22) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -2.2 More โ†’ 0.440 (#22) NetEff -2.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.4 More โ†’ 0.431 (#23) AdjNet -2.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.4 More โ†’ 0.431 (#23) AdjNet -2.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 98.0 | AdjD 100.5 More โ†’ 0.444 (#23) AdjO 98.0 | AdjD 100.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 97.4 | AdjD 101.4 More โ†’ 0.410 (#25) AdjO 97.4 | AdjD 101.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.380 (#24) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.373 (#24) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 263 | GP 82 More โ†’ 926 (#23) RD 263 | GP 82

2005 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2004-11-03 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 93 - 92
2004-11-05 @ New Orleans Pelicans W 90 - 89
2004-11-06 @ Charlotte Hornets L 100 - 111
2004-11-09 vs Dallas Mavericks W 94 - 84
2004-11-10 @ Washington Wizards L 96 - 106
2004-11-12 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 122 - 113
2004-11-14 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 87 - 96
2004-11-17 vs Utah Jazz W 107 - 92
2004-11-20 @ Indiana Pacers - Incomplete score
2004-11-24 vs Portland Trail Blazers L 83 - 89
2004-11-26 @ Atlanta Hawks W 117 - 99
2004-11-27 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 105 - 99
2004-11-29 vs Boston Celtics L 101 - 117
2004-12-01 vs Toronto Raptors W 129 - 108
2004-12-03 @ New York Knicks W 104 - 98
2004-12-04 vs Memphis Grizzlies W 96 - 91
2004-12-08 @ Utah Jazz W 106 - 100
2004-12-10 @ Golden State Warriors W 113 - 109
2004-12-12 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 98 - 105
2004-12-13 @ Phoenix Suns L 100 - 121
2004-12-15 @ San Antonio Spurs L 91 - 94
2004-12-18 vs Denver Nuggets W 117 - 95
2004-12-19 @ Miami Heat L 107 - 117
2004-12-22 vs San Antonio Spurs W 93 - 87
2004-12-27 vs New York Knicks L 111 - 119
2004-12-29 vs Milwaukee Bucks L 105 - 111
2005-01-01 @ Chicago Bulls L 90 - 105
2005-01-03 @ Toronto Raptors L 94 - 105
2005-01-05 vs Oklahoma City Thunder W 105 - 87
2005-01-07 vs Charlotte Hornets W 111 - 91
2005-01-08 vs Brooklyn Nets W 104 - 101
2005-01-10 @ Boston Celtics L 101 - 119
2005-01-12 @ Minnesota Timberwolves W 87 - 80
2005-01-14 @ Detroit Pistons - Incomplete score
2005-01-15 @ Indiana Pacers W 85 - 84
2005-01-18 vs Detroit Pistons W 103 - 101
2005-01-20 vs Houston Rockets L 99 - 108
2005-01-22 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 115 - 111
2005-01-24 @ Houston Rockets L 78 - 89
2005-01-25 @ Memphis Grizzlies L 83 - 95
2005-01-28 vs Washington Wizards W 108 - 101
2005-01-29 @ Washington Wizards W 103 - 97
2005-01-31 @ Atlanta Hawks L 79 - 80
2005-02-01 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 105 - 102
2005-02-04 @ Boston Celtics L 100 - 112
2005-02-05 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 92 - 101
2005-02-08 vs Golden State Warriors L 109 - 113
2005-02-10 vs Atlanta Hawks W 101 - 96
2005-02-12 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 99 - 112
2005-02-13 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 97 - 94
2005-02-15 vs LA Clippers W 99 - 94
2005-02-22 vs Indiana Pacers L 84 - 108
2005-02-26 @ Miami Heat L 98 - 101
2005-02-27 vs Miami Heat L 103 - 112
2005-03-02 vs Sacramento Kings W 114 - 111
2005-03-04 vs New York Knicks W 111 - 89
2005-03-05 @ Brooklyn Nets W 105 - 81
2005-03-08 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 92 - 111
2005-03-09 @ Toronto Raptors L 96 - 106
2005-03-11 vs Minnesota Timberwolves L 96 - 101
2005-03-13 vs Brooklyn Nets L 82 - 98
2005-03-15 @ Sacramento Kings L 94 - 105
2005-03-16 @ LA Clippers L 102 - 110
2005-03-18 @ Oklahoma City Thunder L 90 - 98
2005-03-19 @ Portland Trail Blazers - Incomplete score
2005-03-21 @ Charlotte Hornets - Incomplete score
2005-03-24 vs Charlotte Hornets L 94 - 108
2005-03-26 vs Phoenix Suns L 116 - 118
2005-03-28 vs Atlanta Hawks W 109 - 102
2005-03-30 vs Toronto Raptors W 108 - 96
2005-04-01 vs Washington Wizards L 102 - 111
2005-04-02 @ Brooklyn Nets W 103 - 102
2005-04-05 @ Dallas Mavericks L 105 - 114
2005-04-06 vs Chicago Bulls L 101 - 102
2005-04-08 vs Detroit Pistons L 102 - 114
2005-04-11 vs Cleveland Cavaliers L 106 - 114
2005-04-13 @ Detroit Pistons L 94 - 103
2005-04-15 @ Chicago Bulls L 77 - 117
2005-04-16 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 103 - 113
2005-04-18 vs Indiana Pacers W 92 - 88
2005-04-20 vs Miami Heat L 93 - 98

2005 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Steve Francis G 75 38.0 21.3 5.8 7.0 1.4 0.4 4.0 17.1 14.8 -49 60 -0.8 -2.2 42.2 30.6 82.3 0.02 52.0 43.7
Grant Hill G 62 34.9 19.4 4.7 3.3 1.4 0.4 2.4 15.2 11.6 -38 55 -0.7 -3.0 50.4 23.1 81.6 1.12 55.9 50.6
Cuttino Mobley G 22 31.3 16.0 2.7 1.8 1.0 0.4 1.9 12.9 7.2 -16 46 -0.3 -0.7 42.6 45.8 83.3 -0.4 56.2 52.3
Hedo Turkoglu G 62 26.1 14.3 3.5 2.3 0.6 0.3 1.8 11.6 7.6 -70 60 -1.2 -5.1 43.1 39.8 83.8 0.25 54.6 49.4
Dwight Howard Dwight Howard G 77 32.4 11.9 10.0 0.9 0.9 1.7 2.0 8.2 15.2 -72 60 -1.2 -3.9 52.3 0.0 66.9 -0.48 57.3 52.3
Jameer Nelson G 74 20.1 8.5 2.4 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 7.8 5.8 -8 60 -0.1 -0.5 45.8 31.3 66.7 1.8 51.3 49.5
DeShawn Stevenson G 50 19.7 8.0 1.8 1.3 0.3 0.1 1.1 7.6 2.7 -37 34 -1.1 -4.0 42.0 37.3 55.6 0.58 47.1 45.3
Kelvin Cato G 57 24.3 6.9 6.6 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.0 4.8 10.6 -53 42 -1.3 -3.7 53.9 0 77.0 0.44 59.9 53.9
Doug Christie G 21 25.2 5.7 2.6 2.2 1.8 0.2 1.7 6.1 4.6 97 51 1.9 13.5 36.7 21.7 90.9 0.65 43.2 38.7
Andre Barrett G 11 15.3 5.6 1.9 2.5 0.5 0.1 1.0 5.0 4.5 -49 24 -2.0 -14.3 45.5 33.3 77.8 -0.51 52.6 50.0
Tony Battie G 77 23.6 4.9 5.7 0.5 0.4 1.0 1.0 4.3 7.1 -53 59 -0.9 -3.8 46.7 0.0 74.2 -0.23 50.7 46.7
Pat Garrity G 69 13.4 4.6 1.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.4 4.3 2.4 -57 55 -1.0 -6.6 40.4 33.3 87.9 0.24 50.7 48.3
Stacey Augmon G 53 12.2 3.6 1.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.6 3.1 3.0 -53 37 -1.4 -11.1 40.9 0 74.0 0.1 48.3 40.9
Brandon Hunter G 29 6.9 3.0 2.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.2 2.7 6 11 0.5 2.2 50.8 0 56.8 -0.4 53.5 50.8
Mario Kasun G 41 8.1 2.8 3.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 2.3 3.6 8 29 0.3 4.0 47.9 0.0 53.7 -0.74 50.0 47.9
Mark Jones G 10 11.5 2.3 1.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.3 3.1 1.5 - - - - 29.0 0.0 50.0 - 32.5 29.0
Andrew DeClercq G 8 6.1 1.1 1.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.4 -21 8 -2.6 -21.2 44.4 0 33.3 -0.95 43.6 44.4
Michael Bradley G 8 6.8 0.8 1.8 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.9 2.1 -11 15 -0.7 -23.2 42.9 0 0 -1.37 42.9 42.9

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG