Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 23.6% | 76.4% | +6.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +9 (114-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Francis * | 37 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 21 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 35 | 13-23 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 9 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 34 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 33 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 30 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 1 | - |
| Stacey Augmon * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Pat Garrity * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Kelvin Cato * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Andre Barrett * | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Hunter | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Mario Kasun | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 36 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 33 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 30 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 29 | 8-13 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 29 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Keith Van Horn * | 24 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 21 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Alan Henderson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter