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Northern Iowa

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Northern Iowa Panthers, Northern Iowa
Program History
Coach: Ben Jacobson

2017 Team Stats (3 games)

52.7
PPG
62.0
Opp
-9.3
Margin
40.5%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
55.2%
FT%
27.7
RPG
10.0
APG
14.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
62.5
Adj PPG
61.6
Adj Opp PPG
#151
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1032 (#152) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1004 (#173) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More → 980 (#201) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → +1.4 (#141) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → -1.1 (#184) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.329 (#260) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.1 More → 0.504 (#163) AdjNet +0.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.1 More → 0.502 (#164) AdjNet +0.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 61.6 More → 0.520 (#151) AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 61.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.2 | AdjD 63.9 More → 0.439 (#227) AdjO 61.2 | AdjD 63.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.497 (#174) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.481 (#179) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 151 | GP 29 More → 1022 (#150) RD 151 | GP 29

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-12 vs Coe Kohawks W 74 - 37
2016-11-17 @ Arizona State Sun Devils W 82 - 63
2016-11-18 @ Oklahoma Sooners W 73 - 67
2016-11-20 vs Xavier Musketeers L 59 - 67
2016-11-26 @ Xavier Musketeers L 42 - 64
2016-11-30 vs George Mason Patriots L 50 - 54
2016-12-03 @ Wyoming Cowboys L 73 - 81
2016-12-07 vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits W 86 - 58
2016-12-10 vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks W 78 - 70
2016-12-17 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 46 - 69
2016-12-21 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 42 - 85
2016-12-28 vs Missouri State Bears L 64 - 68
2017-01-01 @ Evansville Purple Aces L 58 - 70
2017-01-04 @ Loyola Chicago Ramblers L 66 - 77
2017-01-08 vs Wichita State Shockers L 66 - 80
2017-01-11 @ Bradley Braves L 61 - 72
2017-01-15 vs Drake Bulldogs W 79 - 60
2017-01-18 vs Loyola Chicago Ramblers W 72 - 69
2017-01-21 @ Southern Illinois Salukis W 58 - 57
2017-01-25 vs Evansville Purple Aces W 61 - 54
2017-01-28 @ Drake Bulldogs W 71 - 63
2017-02-01 @ Illinois State Redbirds L 51 - 57
2017-02-04 vs Indiana State Sycamores W 65 - 60
2017-02-08 vs Southern Illinois Salukis W 49 - 41
2017-02-12 @ Missouri State Bears W 55 - 52
2017-02-15 vs Bradley Braves W 64 - 61
2017-02-18 @ Wichita State Shockers L 44 - 73
2017-02-22 @ Indiana State Sycamores L 59 - 69
2017-02-25 vs Illinois State Redbirds L 42 - 63
2017-03-03 vs Missouri State Bears L 64 - 70

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jeremy Morgan Jeremy Morgan G 18 34.1 15.4 5.6 2.4 1.9 1.1 2.3 3.1 20.9 -21 25 -0.8 -1.0 48.2 55.6 87.5 3.22 232.7 61.6
Bennett Koch Bennett Koch F 19 18.2 9.8 3.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.8 1.3 11.4 -48 25 -1.9 -4.0 70.8 0 75.0 -0.34 299.6 70.8
Klint Carlson Klint Carlson F 19 31.6 8.1 4.9 2.1 0.9 0.2 1.3 1.7 13.2 -61 26 -2.3 -3.0 33.3 14.3 57.1 -1.13 213.4 36.4
Spencer Haldeman Spencer Haldeman G 19 22.4 7.7 2.3 0.9 0.6 0.1 1.0 1.2 9.3 -30 26 -1.2 -2.1 45.5 45.0 50.0 -0.53 319.1 65.9
Wyatt Lohaus Wyatt Lohaus G 4 24.8 5.2 2.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.5 6.8 5 6 0.8 1.4 33.3 0.0 0 -0.89 175.0 33.3
Jordan Ashton Jordan Ashton G 3 22.3 4.3 2.0 1.3 1.0 0.3 1.3 5.3 2.3 -39 26 -1.5 -1.9 31.2 11.1 100.0 0.63 38.5 34.4
Hunter Rhodes Hunter Rhodes G 15 13.4 4.0 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.2 4.9 19 18 1.1 3.5 50.0 53.8 100.0 1.38 158.9 69.4
Juwan McCloud Juwan McCloud G 19 19.5 3.2 1.3 1.5 1.2 0.1 1.2 0.9 5.1 -77 26 -3.0 -5.8 29.4 25.0 60.0 -1.75 140.2 35.3
Luke McDonnell Luke McDonnell F 15 10.3 3.1 2.8 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.9 0.2 5.7 -11 20 -0.6 -2.5 33.3 50.0 0 -0.77 766.7 50.0
Isaiah Brown Isaiah Brown G 17 11.4 2.1 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.6 -45 23 -2.0 -7.2 21.4 27.8 75.0 -1.35 60.5 30.4
Justin Dahl Justin Dahl C 9 4.8 1.8 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.8 -15 12 -1.2 -9.4 66.7 0 33.3 -1.78 68.7 66.7
Ted Friedman Ted Friedman C 18 8.7 0.6 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 1.7 -58 25 -2.3 -13.1 60.0 0 40.0 -5.65 69.4 60.0
Rafael de Souza Rafael de Souza G 6 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.3 1 9 0.1 3.0 0.0 0 0 -0.1 100.0 0.0
Lincoln Conrey Lincoln Conrey F 6 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 -0.2 -5 8 -0.6 -17.1 0.0 0.0 0 -1.72 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG