Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.7% | 88.3% | +11.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +22 (64-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Morgan | 34 | 5-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| J. Ashton | 29 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -6 | - |
| J. McCloud | 27 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Carlson | 24 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| I. Brown | 19 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Koch | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
| T. Friedman | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Haldeman | 14 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| H. Rhodes | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Dahl | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. McDonnell | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.P. Macura | 33 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| T. Bluiett | 33 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| E. Sumner | 32 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| M. Bernard | 32 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Q. Goodin | 18 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| R. Gaston | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. O'Mara | 13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| K. Gates | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Jones | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| T. Stainbrook | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter