Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.4% | 89.6% | +14.4 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.7% | 88.3% | +11.1 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +6 (57-51). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klint Carlson * | 40 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Jeremy Morgan * | 39 | 5-16 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Ashton * | 38 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Juwan McCloud * | 29 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Bennett Koch * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Spencer Haldeman | 16 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Luke McDonnell | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -3 | - |
| Isaiah Brown | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Lee * | 34 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Phil Fayne * | 33 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Keyshawn Evans * | 31 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Tony Wills * | 30 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Deontae Hawkins * | 27 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| DJ Clayton | 24 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Daouda N'Diaye | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Madison Williams | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter