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Northern Colorado

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Northern Colorado Bears
Program History
Coach: B.J. Hill

2014 Team Stats (4 games)

63.8
PPG
64.5
Opp
-0.8
Margin
45.1%
FG%
31.5%
3P%
69.3%
FT%
27.8
RPG
12.0
APG
9.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
69.1
Adj PPG
71.9
Adj Opp PPG
#210
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 908 (#241) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 948 (#216) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More → 970 (#214) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -3.4 (#212) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -7.1 (#278) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.571 (#130) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.0 More → 0.360 (#213) AdjNet -5.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.0 More → 0.359 (#213) AdjNet -5.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 71.9 More → 0.437 (#210) AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 71.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 71.9 More → 0.446 (#227) AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 71.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.388 (#237) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.389 (#243) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 114 | GP 30 More → 905 (#243) RD 114 | GP 30

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-08 @ Kansas State Wildcats W 60 - 58
2013-11-12 vs Colorado Christian Cougars W 98 - 74
2013-11-20 @ New Mexico State Aggies L 63 - 67
2013-11-22 @ Colorado State Rams L 65 - 72
2013-11-30 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 65 - 60
2013-12-01 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers W 87 - 70
2013-12-10 vs Colorado College Tigers W 96 - 57
2013-12-16 vs UC Riverside Highlanders W 63 - 60
2013-12-22 @ Wyoming Cowboys L 59 - 72
2013-12-29 vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks W 84 - 66
2014-01-04 vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 91 - 55
2014-01-09 vs Weber State Wildcats W 70 - 51
2014-01-11 vs Idaho State Bengals W 82 - 75
2014-01-16 @ Montana State Bobcats L 55 - 70
2014-01-18 @ Montana Grizzlies W 84 - 73
2014-01-23 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 87 - 72
2014-01-25 vs Sacramento State Hornets W 72 - 62
2014-01-30 @ Portland State Vikings L 57 - 80
2014-02-01 @ Eastern Washington Eagles L 90 - 94
2014-02-06 @ Idaho State Bengals L 70 - 73
2014-02-08 @ Weber State Wildcats L 65 - 79
2014-02-13 vs Montana Grizzlies W 89 - 86
2014-02-15 vs Montana State Bobcats W 83 - 73
2014-02-20 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 74 - 59
2014-02-22 @ Sacramento State Hornets L 58 - 79
2014-02-27 vs Eastern Washington Eagles L 66 - 80
2014-03-01 vs Portland State Vikings L 68 - 77
2014-03-04 @ North Dakota Fighting Hawks L 90 - 94
2014-03-08 @ Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 77 - 52
2014-03-13 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 62 - 60
2014-03-14 @ Weber State Wildcats L 63 - 66
2014-03-19 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders L 71 - 82

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Derrick Barden Derrick Barden F 27 30.6 14.3 7.9 1.0 1.3 0.4 1.0 2.3 21.6 79 27 2.9 4.1 56.5 53.3 33.3 0.87 270.9 62.9
Tate Unruh Tate Unruh G 27 30.7 13.1 3.3 1.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 2.2 14.7 114 27 4.2 6.0 49.2 41.9 90.9 4.33 278.0 60.2
Tim Huskisson Tim Huskisson F 27 21.2 10.3 3.8 1.6 1.0 0.6 1.5 1.3 14.4 130 27 4.8 10.0 52.8 44.4 72.2 3.54 315.3 58.3
Tevin Svihovec Tevin Svihovec G 27 27.7 9.7 2.7 2.8 0.9 0.1 1.5 2.3 12.4 -27 27 -1.0 -1.6 39.7 26.7 82.1 -2.98 174.6 42.9
Dominique Lee Dominique Lee F 26 15.7 7.0 3.8 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.9 0.7 10.8 60 26 2.3 6.4 61.1 33.3 63.6 1.62 398.4 63.9
Jordan Wilson Jordan Wilson G 27 24.7 6.6 1.4 2.4 0.7 0.0 1.1 1.1 8.9 58 27 2.1 3.8 41.9 27.3 75.0 -2.07 273.2 46.8
Cody McDavis Cody McDavis F 19 15.2 3.6 2.4 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.6 0.8 5.1 -10 20 -0.5 -1.5 60.0 0 0 -3.85 230.0 60.0
Anthony Johnson Anthony Johnson G 20 7.5 3.3 0.7 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.2 3.6 -9 20 -0.5 -2.1 50.0 0.0 0 -2.18 825.0 50.0
Corey Spence Corey Spence G 26 16.4 3.2 1.3 1.8 0.3 0.0 1.6 0.8 4.2 13 26 0.5 1.3 38.1 25.0 40.0 -1.21 181.0 40.5
Connor Osborne Connor Osborne C 26 16.6 3.1 2.7 0.3 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.6 5.2 -6 26 -0.2 -0.6 43.8 0 66.7 -3.28 217.3 43.8
Brendan Keane Brendan Keane C 9 7.1 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 2.2 9 10 0.9 5.0 0.0 0 0 -0.45 350.0 0.0
Jon'te Dotson Jon'te Dotson F 3 3.0 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Xzaivier James Xzaivier James G 8 3.5 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG