Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.4% | 89.6% | +11.8 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +7 (72-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Svihovec * | 35 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 9 | - |
| T. Unruh * | 34 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| C. Spence * | 32 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| D. Barden * | 31 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| C. Osborne * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Lee | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Huskisson | 14 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| B. Keane | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Wilson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Octeus * | 39 | 3-13 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| D. Bejarano * | 38 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| J.J. Avila * | 36 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 10-10 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 20 | - |
| G. Santo * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| D. Cohn * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. De Ciman | 29 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Holt | 23 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
* = starter