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Northern Colorado Bears 62
@
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 60
2014-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 71.6% 28.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 61.5% 38.5% - ✓
Margin 69.3% 30.7% -4.5 ✓ (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 89.4% 10.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 63.6% 36.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 61.7% 38.3% - ✓

Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -2 (60-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Unruh * 35 4-7 3-5 1-1 3 2 0 0 2 12 8 -
T. Svihovec * 31 5-12 1-3 3-3 4 3 0 1 2 14 8 -
D. Barden * 28 7-11 0-1 1-2 3 1 2 1 1 15 10 -
J. Wilson * 27 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 2 4 -
C. Osborne * 18 2-5 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 0 5 5 -
T. Huskisson 23 2-6 0-1 2-2 7 3 2 1 3 6 10 -
C. McDavis 17 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
C. Spence 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
D. Lee 8 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
A. Johnson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Yanku * 35 3-12 1-1 5-6 4 4 3 1 3 12 9 -
M. Jacobsen * 31 8-12 0-0 2-3 5 1 0 0 3 18 9 -
J. Martin * 23 2-2 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 4 9 -
Q. Upshur * 22 1-7 0-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 -1 -
G. Bewernick * 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
A. Dixon 33 7-14 6-10 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 20 11 -
C. Miller 22 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 0 -2 -
L. Springs 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 4 1 0 10 -
A. Kaluna 7 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
T. Meeker 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter