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Northern Colorado

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Northern Colorado Bears
Program History
Coach: B.J. Hill

2014 Team Stats (4 games)

63.8
PPG
64.5
Opp
-0.8
Margin
45.1%
FG%
31.5%
3P%
69.3%
FT%
27.8
RPG
12.0
APG
9.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
69.1
Adj PPG
71.9
Adj Opp PPG
#210
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 908 (#241) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 948 (#216) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More → 970 (#214) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -3.4 (#212) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -7.1 (#278) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.571 (#130) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.0 More → 0.360 (#213) AdjNet -5.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.0 More → 0.359 (#213) AdjNet -5.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 71.9 More → 0.437 (#210) AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 71.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 71.9 More → 0.446 (#227) AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 71.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.388 (#237) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.389 (#243) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 114 | GP 30 More → 905 (#243) RD 114 | GP 30

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-08 @ Kansas State Wildcats W 60 - 58
2013-11-12 vs Colorado Christian Cougars W 98 - 74
2013-11-20 @ New Mexico State Aggies L 63 - 67
2013-11-22 @ Colorado State Rams L 65 - 72
2013-11-30 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 65 - 60
2013-12-01 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers W 87 - 70
2013-12-10 vs Colorado College Tigers W 96 - 57
2013-12-16 vs UC Riverside Highlanders W 63 - 60
2013-12-22 @ Wyoming Cowboys L 59 - 72
2013-12-29 vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks W 84 - 66
2014-01-04 vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 91 - 55
2014-01-09 vs Weber State Wildcats W 70 - 51
2014-01-11 vs Idaho State Bengals W 82 - 75
2014-01-16 @ Montana State Bobcats L 55 - 70
2014-01-18 @ Montana Grizzlies W 84 - 73
2014-01-23 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 87 - 72
2014-01-25 vs Sacramento State Hornets W 72 - 62
2014-01-30 @ Portland State Vikings L 57 - 80
2014-02-01 @ Eastern Washington Eagles L 90 - 94
2014-02-06 @ Idaho State Bengals L 70 - 73
2014-02-08 @ Weber State Wildcats L 65 - 79
2014-02-13 vs Montana Grizzlies W 89 - 86
2014-02-15 vs Montana State Bobcats W 83 - 73
2014-02-20 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 74 - 59
2014-02-22 @ Sacramento State Hornets L 58 - 79
2014-02-27 vs Eastern Washington Eagles L 66 - 80
2014-03-01 vs Portland State Vikings L 68 - 77
2014-03-04 @ North Dakota Fighting Hawks L 90 - 94
2014-03-08 @ Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 77 - 52
2014-03-13 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 62 - 60
2014-03-14 @ Weber State Wildcats L 63 - 66
2014-03-19 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders L 71 - 82

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Derrick Barden Derrick Barden F 27 30.6 14.3 7.9 1.0 1.3 0.4 1.0 2.3 21.6 79 27 2.9 4.1 56.5 53.3 33.3 0.87 270.9 62.9
Tate Unruh Tate Unruh G 27 30.7 13.1 3.3 1.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 2.2 14.7 114 27 4.2 6.0 49.2 41.9 90.9 4.33 278.0 60.2
Tim Huskisson Tim Huskisson F 27 21.2 10.3 3.8 1.6 1.0 0.6 1.5 1.3 14.4 130 27 4.8 10.0 52.8 44.4 72.2 3.54 315.3 58.3
Tevin Svihovec Tevin Svihovec G 27 27.7 9.7 2.7 2.8 0.9 0.1 1.5 2.3 12.4 -27 27 -1.0 -1.6 39.7 26.7 82.1 -2.98 174.6 42.9
Dominique Lee Dominique Lee F 26 15.7 7.0 3.8 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.9 0.7 10.8 60 26 2.3 6.4 61.1 33.3 63.6 1.62 398.4 63.9
Jordan Wilson Jordan Wilson G 27 24.7 6.6 1.4 2.4 0.7 0.0 1.1 1.1 8.9 58 27 2.1 3.8 41.9 27.3 75.0 -2.07 273.2 46.8
Cody McDavis Cody McDavis F 19 15.2 3.6 2.4 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.6 0.8 5.1 -10 20 -0.5 -1.5 60.0 0 0 -3.85 230.0 60.0
Anthony Johnson Anthony Johnson G 20 7.5 3.3 0.7 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.2 3.6 -9 20 -0.5 -2.1 50.0 0.0 0 -2.18 825.0 50.0
Corey Spence Corey Spence G 26 16.4 3.2 1.3 1.8 0.3 0.0 1.6 0.8 4.2 13 26 0.5 1.3 38.1 25.0 40.0 -1.21 181.0 40.5
Connor Osborne Connor Osborne C 26 16.6 3.1 2.7 0.3 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.6 5.2 -6 26 -0.2 -0.6 43.8 0 66.7 -3.28 217.3 43.8
Brendan Keane Brendan Keane C 9 7.1 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 2.2 9 10 0.9 5.0 0.0 0 0 -0.45 350.0 0.0
Jon'te Dotson Jon'te Dotson F 3 3.0 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Xzaivier James Xzaivier James G 8 3.5 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG