🐻⬇️🏀

North Carolina

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: North Carolina Tar Heels
Program History
Coach: Hubert Davis

2025 Team Stats (17 games)

80.5
PPG
78.8
Opp
+2.3
Margin
45.6%
FG%
31.8%
3P%
75.8%
FT%
35.7
RPG
13.2
APG
11.2
TO
82.8
Pace
86.2
AdjO
69.7
AdjD
#33
Rank

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1245 (#37) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1197 (#54) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +16.1 (#33) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.710 (#61) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → 0.710 (#62) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +22.1 More → 0.928 (#34) AdjNet +22.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +22.4 More → 0.930 (#35) AdjNet +22.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 86.2 | AdjD 69.7 More → 0.818 (#33) AdjO 86.2 | AdjD 69.7

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-04 vs Elon Phoenix W 90 - 76
2024-11-08 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 89 - 92
2024-11-15 vs American University Eagles W 107 - 55
2024-11-22 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors W 87 - 69
2024-11-25 vs Dayton Flyers W 92 - 90
2024-11-26 vs Auburn Tigers L 72 - 85
2024-11-27 vs Michigan State Spartans L 91 - 94
2024-12-04 vs Alabama Crimson Tide L 79 - 94
2024-12-07 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 68 - 65
2024-12-14 vs La Salle Explorers W 93 - 67
2024-12-17 vs Florida Gators L 84 - 90
2024-12-21 @ UCLA Bruins W 76 - 74
2024-12-29 vs Campbell Fighting Camels W 97 - 81
2025-01-01 @ Louisville Cardinals L 70 - 83
2025-01-04 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 74 - 73
2025-02-01 @ Duke Blue Devils L 70 - 87
2025-02-10 @ Clemson Tigers L 65 - 85
2025-03-08 vs Duke Blue Devils L 69 - 82
2025-03-14 @ Duke Blue Devils L 71 - 74
2025-03-18 @ San Diego State Aztecs W 95 - 68
2025-03-21 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 64 - 71

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
RJ Davis RJ Davis - 21 34.2 17.3 3.6 3.6 1.2 0.0 1.6 14.5 9.6 163 4.4 5.9 40.0 30.6 84.3 1.77 52.9 47.4
S. Trimble S. Trimble - 18 30.6 13.6 4.6 1.4 1.7 0.5 1.2 9.6 11.1 122 2.8 5.9 45.9 30.2 83.5 1.11 58.5 50.6
I. Jackson I. Jackson - 20 22.4 11.8 2.7 0.7 0.6 0.2 1.1 9.1 5.9 50 1.5 3.5 45.3 35.8 72.1 1.09 57.0 53.3
E. Cadeau E. Cadeau - 21 28.8 10.2 3.0 6.0 1.5 0.4 3.1 8.3 9.7 101 2.1 4.1 43.1 35.7 67.7 3.03 52.8 48.9
V. Lubin V. Lubin - 21 17.7 7.6 4.7 0.2 0.4 1.0 0.6 4.1 9.2 147 5.9 10.8 72.1 0.0 78.3 2.0 75.3 72.1
D. Powell D. Powell - 21 24.6 7.0 3.6 1.0 0.7 0.8 0.8 5.6 6.7 93 3.6 4.7 46.6 32.1 70.0 1.85 56.4 53.8
J. Washington J. Washington - 21 15.6 5.6 4.4 0.2 0.2 0.8 1.2 3.7 6.3 13 0.6 1.2 63.6 0.0 63.3 0.26 64.9 63.6
J. Withers J. Withers - 21 18.1 5.5 4.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 1.0 4.5 5.7 139 5.0 11.2 42.6 32.6 71.0 1.78 53.9 50.0
C. Tyson C. Tyson - 19 9.6 3.0 1.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 2.8 1.8 11 0.7 6.6 37.0 27.0 58.3 -0.26 48.1 46.3
J. Brown J. Brown - 10 2.8 1.5 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.3 -191 -6.8 -8.9 77.8 0 50.0 -0.42 75.9 77.8
D. Mayo Jr. D. Mayo Jr. - 4 1.8 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 219 6.6 9.5 50.0 50.0 0 2.75 75.0 75.0
Ty Claude Ty Claude - 14 5.4 1.4 1.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.4 -23 -2.6 -30.5 53.8 0 46.2 -0.67 53.4 53.8
J. Holbrook J. Holbrook - 4 1.5 0.5 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.8 1 0.2 7.2 50.0 0 0 -1.22 50.0 50.0
R. Hawkins R. Hawkins - 5 1.8 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0 0.0 0.0 50.0 0 0 -1.17 50.0 50.0
Z. High Z. High F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
J. Okonkwo J. Okonkwo F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 107 3.8 11.5 - - - 0.88 - -
E. Davis E. Davis G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -105 -5.5 -7.3 - - - 0.21 - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG