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2025-01-04

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Notre Dame Fighting Irish Spread Result
Elo 67.8% 32.2% -
Bradley-Terry 71.8% 28.2% -
Margin 79.1% 20.9% -7.3 (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 55.4% 44.6% -
Efficiency 60.1% 39.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.5% 15.5% -
Log Adjusted 84.8% 15.2% -
Points Off/Def 64.8% 35.2% -

Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -1 (73-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Jackson 38 11-18 2-7 3-5 6 1 1 1 4 27 14 -7.3
RJ Davis 36 3-9 0-3 2-2 1 7 0 0 1 8 6 -2.6
E. Cadeau 32 3-5 2-3 2-3 1 6 0 0 1 10 11 +0.0
D. Powell 27 3-8 1-6 1-2 4 0 0 1 1 8 4 +2.9
J. Washington 23 3-3 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 5 4 8 13 -1.2
J. Withers 19 3-5 1-1 0-0 4 0 2 0 1 7 7 -2.9
V. Lubin 14 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 1 4 6 -
C. Tyson 8 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -2.5
J. Brown 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -3.1

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Shrewsberry 38 6-15 4-11 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 16 9 +5.1
T. Davis 38 6-14 0-1 5-8 3 2 1 0 2 17 7 +9.8
M. Allocco 34 2-6 2-5 2-2 5 1 2 0 2 8 8 +12.3
M. Burton 23 7-14 0-3 9-10 0 2 2 0 4 23 9 -2.5
K. Njie 21 2-3 0-1 0-1 6 0 0 0 2 4 5 +11.5
J. Roper II 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 3 0 0 2 2 -8.7
G. Sundra 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 3 +8.2
J.R. Konieczny 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 4 -1.8
S. Mohammed 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -5.8
L. Imes 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter