Model Predictions
| Model | Elon Phoenix | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.9% | 98.1% | +21.6 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +14 (90-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TK Simpkins * | 31 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10 | -2.7 |
| D. King * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -6.5 |
| N. Dorn * | 30 | 6-12 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | -3.2 |
| S. Sherry * | 25 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 7 | -4.9 |
| M. Van Komen * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -0.7 |
| I. Harrell | 23 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -11.4 |
| TJ Simpkins | 22 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 12 | - |
| B. Crump | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +15.8 |
| K. Campbell | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -8.7 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Davis * | 33 | 7-19 | 3-11 | 7-7 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 21 | +6.1 |
| E. Cadeau * | 32 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 6-8 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 24 | +3.2 |
| S. Trimble * | 30 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +10.6 |
| J. Withers * | 22 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +2.9 |
| J. Washington * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1.8 |
| D. Powell | 17 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +3.6 |
| V. Lubin | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| C. Tyson | 16 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | +1.5 |
| I. Jackson | 12 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | -4.1 |
* = starter