🐻⬇️🏀

Michigan State Spartans 94
@
North Carolina Tar Heels 91
2024-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 67.9% 32.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 65.4% 34.6% - ✓
Margin 59.9% 40.1% -2.2 ✓ (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 51.3% 48.7% - ✓
Efficiency 51.3% 48.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 72.4% 27.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 72.5% 27.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 54.4% 45.6% - ✓

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -3 (91-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Holloman * 36 5-9 3-6 6-6 2 7 3 0 2 19 20 +8.1
J. Akins * 35 6-13 0-3 2-2 3 1 0 1 2 14 4 +15.7
J. Fears Jr. * 32 2-6 0-0 9-11 4 6 2 0 2 13 17 -6.6
J. Kohler * 13 1-7 0-2 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 3 1 +2.6
S. Zapala * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -1.7
C. Carr 32 6-8 0-0 2-5 7 0 1 1 0 14 15 +6.8
F. Fidler 27 5-6 1-2 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 13 11 +20.6
X. Booker 24 5-7 0-1 2-2 7 0 0 1 2 12 11 +1.0
C. Cooper 16 3-3 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 1 0 6 7 +3.9
K. Teng 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Trimble * 37 3-9 1-2 2-3 2 3 4 1 2 9 8 -7.2
RJ Davis * 37 6-18 2-6 2-3 3 7 3 0 1 16 10 -8.4
E. Cadeau * 34 5-10 2-4 5-5 3 6 1 0 4 17 13 -2.7
J. Withers * 33 3-6 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 8 5 -0.5
J. Washington * 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 2 1 0 7 +3.4
D. Powell 33 7-9 4-6 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 18 11 -5.0
I. Jackson 21 5-8 2-4 2-4 4 0 0 0 1 14 9 -6.3
V. Lubin 12 3-3 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 0 0 9 9 -
Ty Claude 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.9
C. Tyson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter