North Carolina Tar Heels
2017 Team Stats (11 games)
68.3
PPG
81.5
Opp
-13.2
Margin
41.2%
FG%
31.9%
3P%
68.3%
FT%
33.7
RPG
11.1
APG
16.2
TO
84.2
Pace
Model Outputs
2016-2017
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1338 (#21) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1385 (#40) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +40.6 (#35) | HCA +2.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.961 (#23) | - |
2017 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-24 | @ | South Florida Bulls | L | 55 - 83 |
| 2017-01-02 | @ | Virginia Tech Hokies | L | 68 - 76 |
| 2017-01-05 | vs | Florida State Seminoles | L | 77 - 90 |
| 2017-01-12 | @ | Duke Blue Devils | L | 58 - 70 |
| 2017-01-22 | vs | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | L | 55 - 77 |
| 2017-01-26 | @ | Miami Hurricanes | L | 88 - 100 |
| 2017-01-29 | vs | NC State Wolfpack | W | 83 - 70 |
| 2017-02-12 | @ | Syracuse Orange | L | 64 - 95 |
| 2017-02-23 | @ | NC State Wolfpack | L | 60 - 80 |
| 2017-02-26 | vs | Duke Blue Devils | L | 71 - 95 |
| 2017-03-01 | @ | Pittsburgh Panthers | W | 72 - 60 |
2017 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
P. Kea
|
G | 11 | 37.6 | 19.1 | 4.9 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 3.8 | 15.5 | 10.5 | - | - | - | 50.9 | 30.6 | 65.8 | 0.69 | 55.9 | 54.1 |
J. Cherry
|
G | 11 | 35.6 | 16.2 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 3.4 | 13.5 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 39.2 | 38.0 | 72.9 | 0.67 | 52.6 | 48.3 |
S. Watts
|
G | 8 | 36.2 | 14.1 | 7.1 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 3.1 | 13.9 | 7.8 | - | - | - | 36.9 | 27.3 | 68.4 | 0.45 | 47.3 | 45.0 |
D. Walker
|
G | 7 | 35.0 | 13.1 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 12.4 | 5.9 | - | - | - | 35.6 | 37.1 | 77.3 | 0.93 | 47.6 | 43.1 |
T. Koenen
|
G | 11 | 27.0 | 6.4 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 7.7 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 30.6 | 17.4 | 56.0 | 0.31 | 36.5 | 32.9 |
O. Smith
|
G | 6 | 23.5 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 4.2 | 0.8 | -7 | -1.4 | -7.4 | 32.0 | 34.8 | 0 | 0.57 | 48.0 | 48.0 |
H. Fuller
|
F | 4 | 19.5 | 3.5 | 3.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 4.8 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0 | 66.7 | - | 61.8 | 60.0 |
E. Sullivan
|
F | 6 | 15.7 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 4.7 | - | - | - | 53.3 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 59.7 | 53.3 |
A. Okoene
|
F | 11 | 18.8 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3.6 | - | - | - | 61.9 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.58 | 61.2 | 61.9 |
A. Cyr-Scully
|
G | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
L. Roberts
|
G | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
N. Van Nes
|
C | 7 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.29 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG