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2017-02-23

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 40.9% 59.1% -
Bradley-Terry 23.8% 76.2% -
Margin 17.0% 83.0% +8.7 (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 48.6% 51.4% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +20 (80-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Koenen 40 3-12 1-4 2-3 7 2 2 0 1 9 7 -
J. Cherry 38 8-24 2-8 7-9 8 4 1 0 4 25 10 -
O. Smith 35 2-6 2-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 6 1 -
P. Kea 33 5-14 1-4 3-5 7 0 0 0 4 14 3 -
E. Sullivan 23 2-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 0 6 7 -
A. Okoene 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 0 4 -
N. Van Nes 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
L. Roberts 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
A. Cyr-Scully 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Williams 33 6-10 6-10 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 18 16 -
D. Wilson 31 7-17 3-9 2-2 4 1 3 0 0 19 10 -
J. Mathurin 24 4-10 3-5 2-3 4 2 1 0 2 13 8 -
K. Ealey 21 2-4 0-1 0-2 6 4 3 0 2 4 11 -
M. Spencer 20 3-6 0-0 3-3 4 9 0 0 1 9 15 -
C. Nelson 18 5-8 0-0 0-2 7 1 0 4 1 10 13 -
N. Cole 12 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
D. Rogers 11 0-0 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 0 1 1 4 -
A. Maize 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
L. Rudd 10 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 3 -1 -
E. Cassell 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
C. Anderson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter