Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.0% | 83.0% | +8.7 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +20 (80-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Koenen | 40 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Cherry | 38 | 8-24 | 2-8 | 7-9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 10 | - |
| O. Smith | 35 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| P. Kea | 33 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 3 | - |
| E. Sullivan | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Okoene | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| N. Van Nes | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Roberts | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Cyr-Scully | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Williams | 33 | 6-10 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| D. Wilson | 31 | 7-17 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 10 | - |
| J. Mathurin | 24 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| K. Ealey | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| M. Spencer | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| C. Nelson | 18 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| N. Cole | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Rogers | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| A. Maize | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Rudd | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| E. Cassell | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Anderson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter