Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.1% | 34.9% | -3.4 | ✗ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +13 (83-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Spencer | 37 | 5-16 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| D. Wilson | 35 | 6-17 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 8 | - |
| A. Williams | 34 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| C. Nelson | 34 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| J. Mathurin | 30 | 4-15 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| K. Ealey | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| C. Anderson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| D. Rogers | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Maize | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Rudd | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Kea | 39 | 10-13 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 18 | - |
| J. Cherry | 38 | 6-13 | 6-9 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 13 | - |
| S. Watts | 37 | 6-12 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 16 | - |
| D. Walker | 36 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| A. Okoene | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - |
| T. Koenen | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| N. Van Nes | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter