Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.1% | 40.9% | -2.0 | ✓ (22.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -24 (71-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lambert | 35 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 20 | - |
| R. Greenwell | 35 | 10-18 | 6-10 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 21 | - |
| L. Brown | 30 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| L. Odom | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| O. Chidom | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Cooper | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| E. Mathias | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| C. Primm | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| F. Suggs | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Belton | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cherry | 40 | 6-18 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | -1 | - |
| O. Smith | 40 | 5-10 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| T. Koenen | 40 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| P. Kea | 39 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 10 | - |
| E. Sullivan | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| A. Okoene | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Van Nes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter