Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.9% | 79.1% | +7.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +12 (70-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Kea | 38 | 7-18 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 2 | - |
| J. Cherry | 35 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | - |
| S. Watts | 34 | 6-14 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 9 | - |
| D. Walker | 32 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| T. Koenen | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| H. Fuller | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| A. Okoene | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Greenwell | 37 | 3-14 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -6 | - |
| L. Brown | 36 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| K. Lambert | 32 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| L. Odom | 30 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| K. Cooper | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| O. Chidom | 19 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| E. Mathias | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| C. Primm | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| F. Suggs | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Belton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter