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Nicholls Colonels

Also known as: Nicholls Colonels
Program History

2013 Team Stats (2 games)

46.5
PPG
79.0
Opp
-32.5
Margin
34.0%
FG%
29.0%
3P%
57.1%
FT%
25.0
RPG
10.0
APG
16.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
64.3
Adj PPG
72.5
Adj Opp PPG
#284
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 748 (#294) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 814 (#302) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 902 (#301) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ -8.7 (#284) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -9.2 (#296) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.286 (#270) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.8 More โ†’ 0.154 (#299) AdjNet -14.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -15.0 More โ†’ 0.151 (#299) AdjNet -15.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 72.5 More โ†’ 0.323 (#284) AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 72.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 71.1 More โ†’ 0.379 (#285) AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 71.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.250 (#303) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.260 (#304) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 136 | GP 30 More โ†’ 804 (#301) RD 136 | GP 30

2013 Schedule & Results

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Fred Hunter Fred Hunter G 27 31.9 19.9 8.1 2.1 1.8 0.3 2.4 1.2 28.7 -7 21 -0.3 -0.4 53.1 28.6 72.0 3.34 624.4 56.2
Dantrell Thomas Dantrell Thomas G 23 30.4 13.8 4.9 2.7 1.1 0.8 2.6 1.5 19.2 -78 20 -3.9 -5.5 44.1 33.3 87.5 -2.68 423.8 47.1
T.J. Carpenter T.J. Carpenter G 26 30.3 10.0 4.4 1.7 1.0 0.1 1.6 1.6 14.0 -61 20 -3.0 -4.3 34.1 26.9 72.7 -1.46 283.6 42.7
Amin Torres Amin Torres G 26 17.7 7.7 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.0 1.7 0.4 8.9 -87 22 -4.0 -9.8 45.5 50.0 0 -2.89 913.6 59.1
Jeremy Smith Jeremy Smith G 27 24.4 7.4 2.7 1.0 0.5 0.1 1.6 0.6 9.7 -88 23 -3.8 -6.5 26.7 0.0 100.0 -0.89 632.9 26.7
Sam McBeath Sam McBeath F 6 23.5 7.0 3.7 2.5 0.8 0.5 3.2 1.5 9.8 - - - - 33.3 40.0 66.7 0.35 203.5 44.4
Schane Rillieux Schane Rillieux G 29 30.9 5.1 2.2 2.7 0.8 0.1 1.8 0.9 8.1 -92 23 -4.0 -5.4 22.2 12.5 61.5 -1.79 224.6 24.1
JaMarkus Horace JaMarkus Horace F 28 15.8 5.1 3.1 0.2 0.2 0.8 1.2 0.8 7.3 -109 23 -4.7 -11.9 21.7 0 75.0 -2.64 286.8 21.7
Lachlan Prest Lachlan Prest F 8 25.0 4.2 1.9 1.4 0.2 0.5 1.1 0.5 6.6 -34 5 -6.8 -11.6 0.0 0.0 0 -1.86 425.0 0.0
Linden Smith-Hyde Linden Smith-Hyde G 25 15.1 3.0 1.6 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.6 0.2 4.8 -20 20 -1.0 -2.7 50.0 50.0 0 -1.1 925.0 75.0
Pedro Maciel Pedro Maciel G 26 13.8 1.8 0.9 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.8 0.1 3.4 -71 21 -3.4 -11.3 33.3 33.3 0 -2.76 766.7 50.0
Sterling Bailey Sterling Bailey G-F 11 7.6 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.6 0.3 1.0 -50 7 -7.1 -34.2 66.7 50.0 0 -3.42 200.0 83.3
Travis Julien Travis Julien F 14 5.3 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 -49 10 -4.9 -38.1 20.0 0.0 0.0 -3.56 51.0 20.0
Zachary West Zachary West G 7 5.4 0.0 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.0 -1 6 -0.2 -1.2 0 0 0 -0.3 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG