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Nicholls Colonels

Also known as: Nicholls Colonels
Program History

2013 Team Stats (2 games)

46.5
PPG
72.9
Opp
-5.6
Margin
34.0%
FG%
29.0%
3P%
57.1%
FT%
25.0
RPG
10.0
APG
16.5
TO
72.7
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1137 (#255) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1140 (#275) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 913 (#543) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +17.0 (#300) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -0.7 (#317) HCA +3.3
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -49.0 More → 0.002 (#316) NetEff -49.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 70.0 More → 0.420 (#490) AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 70.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.410 (#347) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.394 (#359) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 136 | GP 30 More → 859 (#496) RD 136 | GP 30

2013 Schedule & Results

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
F. Hunter F. Hunter G 27 31.9 19.9 8.1 2.1 1.8 0.3 2.4 1.2 28.7 -22 -0.8 -1.1 53.1 28.6 72.0 0.66 624.4 56.2
D. Thomas D. Thomas G 23 30.4 13.8 4.9 2.7 1.1 0.8 2.6 1.5 19.2 323 9.5 12.3 44.1 33.3 87.5 2.5 423.8 47.1
T.J. Carpenter T.J. Carpenter G 26 30.3 10.0 4.4 1.7 1.0 0.1 1.6 1.6 14.0 -65 -2.5 -3.7 34.1 26.9 72.7 0.33 283.6 42.7
A. Torres A. Torres G 26 17.7 7.7 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.0 1.7 0.4 8.9 -67 -2.6 -4.9 45.5 50.0 0 -0.13 913.6 59.1
J. Smith J. Smith G 27 24.4 7.4 2.7 1.0 0.5 0.1 1.6 0.6 9.7 57 8.1 24.1 26.7 0.0 100.0 0.7 632.9 26.7
S. McBeath S. McBeath F 6 23.5 7.0 3.7 2.5 0.8 0.5 3.2 1.5 9.8 5 0.8 1.7 33.3 40.0 66.7 0.12 203.5 44.4
S. Rillieux S. Rillieux G 29 30.9 5.1 2.2 2.7 0.8 0.1 1.8 0.9 8.1 -124 -4.3 -6.4 22.2 12.5 61.5 -0.85 224.6 24.1
J. Horace J. Horace F 28 15.8 5.1 3.1 0.2 0.2 0.8 1.2 0.8 7.3 -86 -3.1 -7.5 21.7 0 75.0 -0.48 286.8 21.7
L. Prest L. Prest F 8 25.0 4.2 1.9 1.4 0.2 0.5 1.1 0.5 6.6 -20 -2.2 -5.1 0.0 0.0 0 -0.1 425.0 0.0
L. Smith-Hyde L. Smith-Hyde G 25 15.1 3.0 1.6 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.6 0.2 4.8 -30 -1.2 -2.8 50.0 50.0 0 0.17 925.0 75.0
P. Maciel P. Maciel G 26 13.8 1.8 0.9 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.8 0.1 3.4 -84 -3.2 -7.4 33.3 33.3 0 -0.42 766.7 50.0
S. Bailey S. Bailey G-F 11 7.6 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.6 0.3 1.0 -82 -7.5 -32.1 66.7 50.0 0 -0.88 200.0 83.3
T. Julien T. Julien F 14 5.3 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 -98 -7.5 -33.4 20.0 0.0 0.0 -1.05 51.0 20.0
Z. West Z. West G 7 5.4 0.0 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.0 -31 -3.9 -12.5 0 0 0 -0.11 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG