Model Predictions
| Model | Nicholls Colonels | UTSA Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.9% | 77.1% | +6.7 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UTSA Roadrunners +18 (76-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nicholls Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JaMarkus Horace * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Schane Rillieux * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jeremy Smith * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Dantrell Thomas * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Linden Smith-Hyde * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Pedro Maciel | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Amin Torres | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| T.J. Carpenter | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zachary West | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Travis Julien | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sterling Bailey | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Sims * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Michael Hale * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Kannon Burrage * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Jeromie Hill * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 28 | - |
| Larry Wilkins * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Hyjii Thomas | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Edrico McGregor | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
* = starter