Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Bears | Nicholls Colonels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.8% | 66.2% | +3.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nicholls Colonels +4 (83-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarvis Garner * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Robert Crawford * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 22 | - |
| DeShone McClure * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Harks * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Oliver Wells * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Williams | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Daouda Berete | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Anthony Borden | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Lenell Brown | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Terrell Brown | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Zach Padgett | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Nicholls Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Hunter * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 32 | - |
| Jeremy Smith * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 24 | - |
| T.J. Carpenter * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Schane Rillieux * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Dantrell Thomas * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Linden Smith-Hyde | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Amin Torres | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Pedro Maciel | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| JaMarkus Horace | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter