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New Mexico State

Also known as: New Mexico State Aggies, New Mexico State
Program History

2013 Team Stats (4 games)

57.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
37.9%
FG%
31.6%
3P%
66.2%
FT%
36.8
RPG
11.5
APG
13.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
66.0
Adj PPG
61.1
Adj Opp PPG
#91
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1211 (#69) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1146 (#74) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 1116 (#35) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +5.1 (#96) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +4.3 (#105) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.686 (#79) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +8.3 More โ†’ 0.721 (#98) AdjNet +8.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +8.3 More โ†’ 0.722 (#99) AdjNet +8.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.0 | AdjD 61.1 More โ†’ 0.609 (#91) AdjO 66.0 | AdjD 61.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 60.6 More โ†’ 0.585 (#92) AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 60.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.686 (#76) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.682 (#73) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 115 | GP 34 More โ†’ 1179 (#60) RD 115 | GP 34

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-11 @ Oregon State Beavers L 62 - 71
2012-11-15 vs SE Louisiana Lions W 81 - 56
2012-11-17 vs Bucknell Bison L 49 - 62
2012-11-18 @ Niagara Purple Eagles L 83 - 86
2012-11-21 vs Northern New Mexico Eagles W 67 - 37
2012-11-23 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 79 - 57
2012-11-28 @ UTEP Miners L 54 - 55
2012-12-01 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles W 68 - 60
2012-12-04 @ South Alabama Jaguars W 58 - 52
2012-12-15 @ New Mexico Lobos L 58 - 73
2012-12-19 vs New Mexico Lobos L 63 - 68
2012-12-22 vs Missouri State Bears W 71 - 51
2012-12-29 @ UT Arlington Mavericks L 47 - 68
2012-12-31 @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs L 72 - 81
2013-01-03 vs UTSA Roadrunners W 82 - 62
2013-01-05 vs Texas State Bobcats W 78 - 67
2013-01-10 @ Seattle U Redhawks W 83 - 82
2013-01-12 @ Idaho Vandals W 71 - 70
2013-01-17 vs Utah State Aggies W 64 - 51
2013-01-19 vs San Josรฉ State Spartans W 70 - 53
2013-01-23 vs Denver Pioneers W 53 - 42
2013-01-31 @ Texas State Bobcats W 86 - 72
2013-02-02 @ UTSA Roadrunners W 75 - 62
2013-02-07 vs Idaho Vandals W 76 - 74
2013-02-09 vs Seattle U Redhawks W 60 - 57
2013-02-14 @ San Josรฉ State Spartans W 67 - 57
2013-02-16 @ Utah State Aggies L 69 - 73
2013-02-23 vs UTEP Miners W 55 - 51
2013-03-02 @ Denver Pioneers L 60 - 66
2013-03-07 vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs W 78 - 60
2013-03-09 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 69 - 66
2013-03-14 vs Idaho Vandals W 65 - 49
2013-03-15 vs Texas State Bobcats W 74 - 65
2013-03-16 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 64 - 55
2013-03-21 @ Saint Louis Billikens L 44 - 64

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Daniel Mullings Daniel Mullings G 35 34.3 13.8 5.2 2.6 2.3 0.5 3.0 3.0 18.3 112 28 4.0 5.1 42.3 42.9 68.9 2.06 195.1 45.2
Bandja Sy Bandja Sy F 35 35.3 11.9 7.3 1.4 0.7 0.6 2.3 2.9 16.6 80 28 2.9 3.5 35.0 19.4 68.2 -1.21 184.1 37.9
Tyrone Watson Tyrone Watson F 24 32.5 10.3 5.0 2.8 0.9 0.3 2.5 2.9 13.9 107 20 5.3 6.9 45.7 25.0 67.4 2.4 137.4 47.9
Sim Bhullar Sim Bhullar C 35 24.4 10.1 6.7 0.7 0.1 2.4 1.3 1.5 17.2 75 28 2.7 4.7 51.9 0 50.0 1.08 258.5 51.9
Tshilidzi Nephawe Tshilidzi Nephawe C 9 20.8 7.2 5.2 0.1 0.1 0.6 2.6 1.1 9.6 11 8 1.4 2.7 50.0 0 87.5 -1.2 240.4 50.0
Renaldo Dixon Renaldo Dixon F 34 18.7 5.6 4.0 0.6 0.2 1.4 1.1 1.1 9.6 49 27 1.8 4.3 34.2 33.3 84.6 0.27 217.3 35.5
Terrel de Rouen Terrel de Rouen G 32 19.6 5.6 2.1 1.8 0.4 0.1 1.4 0.9 7.7 26 26 1.0 2.2 40.0 38.5 50.0 -1.37 275.7 48.3
K.C. Ross-Miller K.C. Ross-Miller G 30 23.1 5.3 1.9 2.3 1.1 0.1 2.0 1.7 6.9 56 24 2.3 4.5 41.2 33.3 76.5 -0.28 135.1 46.1
Remi Barry Remi Barry F 27 12.9 4.0 2.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.6 5.8 -17 20 -0.8 -3.0 43.8 75.0 50.0 -1.52 306.9 53.1
Kevin Aronis Kevin Aronis G 35 9.6 3.0 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.8 3.5 33 28 1.2 5.1 40.7 40.0 33.3 1.63 187.1 59.3
B.J. West B.J. West F-C 12 4.1 1.9 2.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.2 3.5 -15 10 -1.5 -15.8 100.0 0 0 -2.6 383.3 100.0
Matej Buovac Matej Buovac F 12 3.5 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.5 -22 9 -2.4 -27.5 100.0 100.0 0 -4.61 750.0 150.0
Eric Weary Eric Weary G 10 4.8 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.0 -4 8 -0.5 -7.1 33.3 33.3 0 -1.56 91.7 50.0
Emery Coleman Emery Coleman - 3 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 -0.7 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG