Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | New Mexico State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.3% | 92.7% | +15.9 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.0% | 93.0% | +14.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico State Aggies +11 (78-67). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Staff * | 27 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Joel Wright * | 24 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Wesley Davis * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Vonn Jones * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Reid Koenen * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Phil Hawkins | 29 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Deonte' Jones | 24 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Corey Stern | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Nick Hinton | 15 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Basil Brown | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Darius Richardson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Mullings * | 38 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Bandja Sy * | 37 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Tyrone Watson * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Sim Bhullar * | 27 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| K.C. Ross-Miller * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Terrel de Rouen | 19 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Renaldo Dixon | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Remi Barry | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Matej Buovac | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Aronis | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter