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New Mexico Lobos

Also known as: New Mexico Lobos
Program History

2022 Team Stats (4 games)

76.5
PPG
74.3
Opp
-0.6
Margin
48.2%
FG%
41.9%
3P%
71.8%
FT%
32.0
RPG
14.0
APG
15.5
TO
79.6
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1428 (#34) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1330 (#81) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 938 (#568) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +32.4 (#69) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +9.1 (#219) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.305 (#91) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +1.7 More → 0.547 (#110) NetEff +1.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -15.3 More → 0.147 (#102) AdjNet -15.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -15.4 More → 0.144 (#102) AdjNet -15.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 71.9 More → 0.480 (#319) AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 71.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.684 (#205) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.639 (#213) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 138 | GP 29 More → 1009 (#211) RD 138 | GP 29

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-10 vs Florida Atlantic Owls W 99 - 92
2021-11-15 vs Grambling Tigers W 86 - 61
2021-11-20 vs Montana State Bobcats W 81 - 78
2021-11-22 vs Western New Mexico Mustangs W 88 - 63
2021-11-25 vs UAB Blazers L 73 - 86
2021-11-26 vs Towson Tigers L 58 - 73
2021-11-30 @ New Mexico State Aggies W 101 - 94
2021-12-09 vs Denver Pioneers W 87 - 67
2021-12-12 vs UTEP Miners L 69 - 77
2021-12-19 vs SMU Mustangs L 72 - 90
2021-12-21 vs Norfolk State Spartans W 68 - 54
2021-12-28 vs Colorado State Rams - Preview
2022-01-01 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 70 - 79
2022-01-11 @ UNLV Rebels L 56 - 85
2022-01-15 vs Boise State Broncos L 63 - 71
2022-01-19 @ Colorado State Rams L 74 - 80
2022-01-22 @ Wyoming Cowboys L 91 - 93
2022-01-25 vs Fresno State Bulldogs L 60 - 65
2022-01-28 vs San José State Spartans W 86 - 70
2022-01-31 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 47 - 72
2022-02-05 @ Air Force Falcons W 91 - 77
2022-02-11 vs Northern New Mexico Eagles W 78 - 46
2022-02-15 vs Wyoming Cowboys W 75 - 66
2022-02-17 vs Colorado State Rams L 68 - 83
2022-02-20 @ San José State Spartans L 55 - 71
2022-02-22 @ Utah State Aggies L 56 - 81
2022-02-26 vs Air Force Falcons W 69 - 65
2022-02-28 @ Fresno State Bulldogs L 68 - 71
2022-03-05 vs UNLV Rebels W 76 - 67
2022-03-09 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 72 - 79

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
B. Horvath B. Horvath F 1 25.0 19.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 23.0 209 6.1 7.9 0 0 0 1.2 0 0
J. Mashburn Jr. J. Mashburn Jr. G 29 33.4 17.5 2.7 1.9 0.7 0.1 2.0 3.3 17.5 -91 -3.6 -6.8 51.0 40.0 83.9 2.05 231.2 57.3
J. House J. House - 28 31.8 16.9 3.7 4.5 2.3 0.3 3.5 3.0 21.2 22 0.7 1.0 41.2 31.4 89.2 0.48 234.0 47.6
B. Baruti B. Baruti F 1 26.0 15.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 25.0 105 3.3 8.8 0 0 0 0.91 0 0
KJ Jenkins KJ Jenkins - 27 23.5 10.4 3.4 0.9 0.5 0.0 0.8 2.0 12.4 12 0.4 0.7 41.5 35.1 100.0 0.02 253.6 53.8
J. Allen-Tovar J. Allen-Tovar F 8 24.4 9.2 5.1 0.2 0.4 1.6 1.5 3.0 12.1 31 1.0 1.7 58.3 50.0 42.9 0.69 136.6 66.7
E. Winchester E. Winchester G 1 28.0 8.0 2.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 14.0 71 2.3 4.1 0 0 0 0.43 0 0
G. Muscadin G. Muscadin F 3 19.7 8.0 2.0 1.0 1.3 1.0 2.0 2.0 9.3 8 0.7 1.3 16.7 0 50.0 0.46 154.6 16.7
J. Johnson J. Johnson G 29 28.2 7.2 4.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.6 1.4 11.4 -43 -8.6 -31.6 61.0 52.2 80.0 1.56 230.2 75.6
Emmanuel Kuac Emmanuel Kuac G 2 13.0 5.5 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 13.0 19 3.2 6.9 0 0 0 0.33 0 0
Taryn Todd Taryn Todd G 7 17.3 5.0 2.6 0.9 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.9 7.9 -43 -1.5 -4.0 33.3 0.0 100.0 -0.42 254.4 33.3
C. Patterson C. Patterson G 2 6.5 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.5 3.0 - - - 66.7 100.0 0 - 150.0 83.3
S. Singleton S. Singleton - 7 17.6 3.4 3.0 0.7 0.9 0.0 1.4 1.6 5.0 -29 -1.2 -2.4 54.5 50.0 38.5 0.03 71.8 59.1
S. Fino-A-Laself S. Fino-A-Laself - 1 4.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Francis J. Francis G 7 10.6 2.1 1.1 1.7 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.3 4.0 31 2.6 12.0 33.3 0.0 0.0 0.41 79.4 33.3
J. Arroyo J. Arroyo F 2 5.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.5 -25 -2.3 -11.6 100.0 0 0.0 -0.22 60.2 100.0
T. Wagstaff T. Wagstaff F 1 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
S. Forsling S. Forsling - 25 14.7 2.0 2.6 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.3 4.7 - - - 62.5 100.0 50.0 -0.95 281.5 68.8
B. Seck B. Seck - 17 8.8 0.6 2.4 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 3.4 12 0.7 2.8 25.0 0.0 0 0.08 137.5 25.0
N. Dorsey N. Dorsey G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -33 -1.5 -3.1 - - - -0.25 - -
N. Thelissen N. Thelissen F 1 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -23 -1.5 -20.2 0 0 0 -0.31 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG