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2021-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Colorado State Rams New Mexico Lobos Spread
Elo 18.9% (#109) 81.1% (#34) -
Bradley-Terry 47.2% (#65) 52.8% (#81) -
Margin 37.5% (#73) 62.5% (#69) New Mex... -2.8
Pythagorean 64.5% (#37) 35.5% (#91) -
Efficiency 18.6% (#180) 81.4% (#110) -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.1% (#64) 11.9% (#102) -
Log Adjusted 88.2% (#64) 11.8% (#102) -

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Colorado State Rams New Mexico Lobos
Games 8 4
PPG 64.6 76.5
FG% 41.8% 48.2%
3PT% 33.9% 41.9%
FT% 70.2% 71.8%
RPG 27.3 32.0
APG 12.9 14.0
SPG 6.8 5.8
BPG 2.5 3.0
TOPG 11.1 15.5

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Colorado State Rams New Mexico Lobos
Adj. Off Eff 100.1 92.4
Adj. Def Eff 99.9 107.6
Adj. Net Eff 0.2 -15.3

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Colorado State Rams Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
I. Stevens 14.7 3.2 4.7 1.2 0.1 34.7
D. Roddy 18.9 7.4 3.2 0.9 1.0 33.9
J. Tonje 9.3 2.6 0.7 0.4 0.2 25.3
K. Moore 6.6 2.6 1.9 1.1 0.0 25.3
C. Jacobs 5.5 4.0 0.7 0.8 0.3 20.3

New Mexico Lobos Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
J. Mashburn Jr. 17.5 2.7 1.9 0.7 0.1 33.4
J. House 16.9 3.7 4.5 2.3 0.3 31.8
J. Johnson 7.2 4.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 28.2
J. Allen-Tovar 9.3 5.1 0.3 0.4 1.6 24.4
KJ Jenkins 10.4 3.4 0.9 0.5 0.0 23.5