Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.5% | 75.5% | +6.2 | ✓ (18.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +25 (72-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mashburn Jr. * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 12 | - |
| S. Forsling * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Johnson * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Player #4431763 * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | - |
| KJ Jenkins | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 24 | - |
| B. Seck | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Francis | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Butler * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 20 | - |
| Player #4431786 * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 26 | - |
| M. Bradley * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Player #4397371 * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | - |
| A. Seiko | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C. Alger | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter