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NC State

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: NC State
Program History
Coach: Kevin Keatts

2024 Team Stats (40 games)

75.9
PPG
71.8
Opp
+3.8
Margin
44.9%
FG%
34.5%
3P%
73.7%
FT%
35.4
RPG
13.1
APG
9.6
TO
78.8
Pace

Model Outputs

2023-2024
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1216 (#89) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1348 (#40) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +36.4 (#36) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.545 (#54) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +6.2 More → 0.663 (#94) NetEff +6.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.5 More → 0.704 (#37) AdjNet +7.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.6 More → 0.706 (#37) AdjNet +7.6

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2023-11-06 vs The Citadel Bulldogs W 72 - 59
2023-11-10 vs Abilene Christian Wildcats W 84 - 64
2023-11-17 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 87 - 53
2023-11-23 @ Vanderbilt Commodores W 84 - 78
2023-11-24 @ BYU Cougars L 86 - 95
2023-11-28 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 52 - 72
2023-12-02 @ Boston College Eagles W 84 - 78
2023-12-06 vs Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks W 93 - 61
2023-12-12 vs UT Martin Skyhawks W 81 - 67
2023-12-16 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 70 - 79
2023-12-20 vs Saint Louis Billikens W 82 - 70
2023-12-23 vs Detroit Mercy Titans W 83 - 66
2024-01-03 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 54 - 52
2024-01-06 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 76 - 60
2024-01-10 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 54 - 67
2024-01-13 @ Louisville Cardinals W 89 - 83
2024-01-16 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 83 - 76
2024-01-20 vs Virginia Tech Hokies L 78 - 84
2024-01-24 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 53 - 59
2024-01-27 @ Syracuse Orange L 65 - 77
2024-01-30 vs Miami Hurricanes W 74 - 68
2024-02-03 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 82 - 76
2024-02-07 vs Pittsburgh Panthers L 64 - 67
2024-02-10 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 79 - 83
2024-02-17 @ Clemson Tigers W 78 - 77
2024-02-20 vs Syracuse Orange L 83 - 87
2024-02-24 vs Boston College Eagles W 81 - 70
2024-02-27 @ Florida State Seminoles L 83 - 90
2024-03-02 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 70 - 79
2024-03-04 vs Duke Blue Devils L 64 - 79
2024-03-09 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 73 - 81
2024-03-12 vs Louisville Cardinals W 94 - 85
2024-03-13 @ Syracuse Orange W 83 - 65
2024-03-14 @ Duke Blue Devils W 74 - 69
2024-03-15 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 73 - 65
2024-03-16 @ North Carolina Tar Heels W 84 - 76
2024-03-21 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders W 80 - 67
2024-03-23 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 79 - 73
2024-03-29 @ Marquette Golden Eagles W 67 - 58
2024-03-31 @ Duke Blue Devils W 76 - 64
2024-04-06 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 50 - 63

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
DJ Horne DJ Horne - 40 32.5 16.9 3.5 2.1 1.3 0.1 1.4 13.8 8.8 59 3.7 6.5 43.6 40.4 81.4 0.66 56.3 53.1
DJ Burns Jr. DJ Burns Jr. - 41 24.8 12.9 4.0 2.9 0.4 0.6 1.9 10.6 8.4 98 12.2 31.3 53.1 20.0 68.0 0.7 55.4 53.2
J. Taylor J. Taylor G 41 27.4 11.2 3.6 1.3 1.1 0.5 1.5 8.4 7.7 6 0.9 2.0 41.3 36.4 75.5 0.2 56.0 50.6
C. Morsell C. Morsell - 41 32.6 11.1 2.8 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.9 9.6 6.6 25 1.5 2.4 40.6 27.0 80.6 0.12 50.9 45.3
M. Diarra M. Diarra - 40 22.0 6.3 7.8 0.6 0.7 1.0 0.7 4.8 10.9 1 0.1 0.1 47.7 30.9 65.8 -0.24 56.2 53.1
Michael O'Connell Michael O'Connell G 41 25.1 5.7 3.4 3.2 0.9 0.1 1.2 4.5 7.5 81 4.8 9.1 44.9 37.5 77.6 1.11 56.6 53.0
Ben Middlebrooks Ben Middlebrooks F 41 16.1 5.7 4.4 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.6 3.6 7.9 42 2.5 6.1 48.6 7.7 73.8 0.48 58.3 49.0
D. Parker Jr. D. Parker Jr. G 29 15.5 4.7 3.2 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.7 4.0 4.6 48 2.8 6.3 44.3 30.8 53.8 0.7 51.1 49.6
MJ Rice MJ Rice - 9 8.8 4.1 1.9 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.7 3.4 2.2 63 7.9 11.2 48.4 23.1 44.4 0.62 52.9 53.2
LJ Thomas LJ Thomas G 12 7.5 2.6 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.1 2.1 2.8 - - - 40.0 57.1 63.6 - 51.9 48.0
Breon Pass Breon Pass G 31 5.4 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 1.1 1.0 -18 -1.2 -11.1 44.1 33.3 62.5 -0.1 53.3 51.5
K. Woods K. Woods G 13 7.4 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 1.3 0.5 8 2.0 17.4 29.4 40.0 50.0 0.1 38.2 35.3
E. Ross E. Ross F 14 3.6 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.1 -4 -1.0 -10.8 18.2 0.0 0 -0.08 18.2 18.2
J. Snell J. Snell G 6 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 13 2.6 24.8 0.0 0 0 0.05 0.0 0.0
I. Miranda I. Miranda F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
KJ Keatts KJ Keatts G 6 1.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 -3 -3.0 -480.0 0 0 0 -0.06 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG