Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.9% | 77.1% | +6.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +9 (94-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Clark * | 40 | 12-17 | 7-9 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 21 | -5.7 |
| M. James * | 39 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -5.7 |
| T. White * | 34 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 6 | -7.0 |
| B. Huntley-Hatfield * | 32 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 18 | -0.7 |
| T. Johnson * | 24 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 0 | -7.2 |
| C. Williams | 13 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -2.9 |
| Z. Payne | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Glenn | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.3 |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Morsell * | 39 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 13-13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 17 | +8.9 |
| J. Taylor * | 39 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 19 | +1.3 |
| M. O'Connell * | 34 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | +8.6 |
| M. Diarra * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| DJ Burns Jr. * | 11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| B. Middlebrooks | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 | -0.6 |
| B. Pass | 22 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +1.9 |
| K. Woods | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter