Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.5% | 48.5% | -0.3 | ✗ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +6 (59-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Taylor * | 40 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Morsell * | 32 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| DJ Horne * | 30 | 3-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| DJ Burns Jr. * | 27 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| D. Parker Jr. * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. O'Connell | 28 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| M. Diarra | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| B. Middlebrooks | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Woods | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Pass | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| LJ Thomas | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. McKneely * | 42 | 4-16 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -5 | - |
| Player #4432187 * | 40 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Player #4888725 * | 35 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Player #4594263 * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| A. Rohde * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Harris | 20 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Murray | 19 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| B. Buchanan | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Groves | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Bond III | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter