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2024-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 70.9% 29.1% -
Bradley-Terry 42.6% 57.4% -
Margin 26.0% 74.0% +5.8 (10.2 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% -
Efficiency 42.8% 57.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.5% 75.5% -
Log Adjusted 24.1% 75.9% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +16 (76-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Player #4432187 * 33 4-7 0-0 4-4 2 10 1 0 1 12 17 -
I. McKneely * 32 6-13 4-7 2-2 3 0 2 0 3 18 7 -
Player #4888725 * 32 7-9 1-2 1-3 7 1 1 1 1 16 16 -
A. Rohde * 31 1-6 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 2 -2 -
B. Buchanan * 23 2-3 0-0 0-2 5 0 1 0 0 4 7 -
T. Murray 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 0 4 -
J. Groves 12 1-6 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -3 -
E. Gertrude 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
Player #4594263 7 2-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 6 7 -
L. Bond III 4 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Morsell * 33 2-9 1-7 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 5 0 -
J. Taylor * 32 4-9 2-5 5-5 1 0 0 1 2 15 6 -
DJ Horne * 31 5-11 2-7 2-2 6 3 2 0 0 14 14 -
D. Parker Jr. * 24 5-8 3-5 2-2 4 0 1 0 2 15 10 -
DJ Burns Jr. * 22 3-6 0-0 0-1 2 4 1 0 1 6 6 -
M. O'Connell 27 2-5 1-2 1-2 3 5 0 0 0 6 9 -
B. Middlebrooks 18 4-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 0 8 12 -
MJ Rice 10 3-4 1-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 7 8 -
M. Diarra 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter